Newmarket (July) 17:25 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Lodge At The National Stud Handicap Stakes

Lodge At The National Stud Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Lodge At The National Stud Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Silca Bay (GB) Oliver Carmichael · Eve Johnson Houghton
    3/1F
  2. 7/2
  3. 7/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 25 Jul King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · 16:10

Curragh

13:10–17:45 · 9 races

Market Rasen

13:35–17:15 · 7 races

Newbury

13:55–17:20 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:00–17:30 · 7 races

Ripon

14:05–17:35 · 7 races

Newmarket (July)

14:30–17:25 · 6 races

Doncaster

17:40–21:00 · 7 races

Nottingham

17:55–20:43 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 16 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rogue Encore silks
Rogue Encore
Age 5 · 9-11
1-5090
81
78
81OR
5
9-11
9/1 17/2 9/1
Rogue Encore won five starts back and rates a workable 87, third-best in this field, having also run over today's trip and going before. But he has been well held since - unplaced in two of his last three starts either side of a ninth - and a 106-day absence adds a real fitness question.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mythical Guest silks
Mythical Guest
Age 6 · 9-10
3-0993
80
83
80OR
6
9-10
7/2
Mythical Guest returned to form with a third last time out just eight days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Though yet to score in this sequence, the level of his placed efforts leaves him the highest-rated of these seven at 88 and the one to beat on figures.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Elan d'Or silks
Elan d'Or
Age 3 · 9-9
211-50
87
98
87OR
3
9-9
11/2 6/1 5/1
Elan d'Or strung together back-to-back wins three and four starts back, but that promising sequence faded to fifth and then unplaced in his last two starts. He has run over today's trip and going before and holds an official mark of 87, with a rating of 84 here reflecting the recent form dip.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lady Mariko silks
Lady Mariko
Age 4 · 9-8
-16060
78
76
78OR
4
9-8
10/1 FCST 9/1
Lady Mariko won five starts back but has since been well held, twice unplaced and twice sixth in the four starts since, including last time out. She has run over today's trip and going before, but bottom of the weights here on a rating of 80, she needs a big reversal of recent form.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Silca Bay silks
Silca Bay
Age 4 · 9-7
-40414
77
86
77OR
4
9-7
11/4 9/4 11/4
Silca Bay has been fairly consistent, with three fourths and a win in his last five starts, though a below-par run four starts back is the outlier. He has run over today's trip and going before and his trainer is among the in-form yards at 26 percent in the last fortnight, some encouragement on a modest rating of 81.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Dovey Moon silks
Dovey Moon
Age 4 · 9-7
1-7103
77
84
77OR
4
9-7
17/2 15/2 8/1
Dovey Moon has won twice in his last five starts, either side of a seventh, but the sequence has since cooled - unplaced next time, before finishing third last time out. He has run over today's trip and going before, and although only sixth-best of these on a rating of 81, has shown he has more to offer on his day.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Astrazar silks
Astrazar
Age 3 · 9-4
11-974
82
93
82OR
3
9-4
10/3 10/3 3/1
Astrazar opened this sequence with back-to-back wins five and four starts back, and although the form dipped through a ninth and a seventh, he rallied to fourth last time out. He has run over today's trip and going before and is rated 87, second-best in this field, making him a leading threat to our selection.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rogue Encore 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 9/1 Bet365
2 Mythical Guest 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
3 Elan d'Or 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Lady Mariko 10/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Silca Bay 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 Bet365
6 Dovey Moon 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 17/2 Bet365
7 Astrazar 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Elan d'Or

Speculative

Elan d'Or owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Stuart Williams Marco Ghiani
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Silca Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Lady Mariko

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Dylan Cunha
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Elan d'Or
56.9 11/2
2 5. Silca Bay
56.5 11/4
3 7. Astrazar
54.9 10/3
4 2. Mythical Guest
53.4 7/2
5 1. Rogue Encore
53.3 9/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Elan d'Or
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Elan d'Or
Confidence: Medium

Elan d'Or (SR 98, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin and has steamed in 16% in the market — the strongest market move here — suggesting informed confidence. Dropping one class from his last run and carrying just 9-9 gives him a genuine weight advantage over the likes of Mythical Guest (SR 83, 9-10) and Rogue Encore (SR 78, 9-11). His form of 211-50 shows he has genuine ability, with back-to-back wins earlier in his career, and a course placing (W0P1 at Newmarket July) confirms he handles the track. The GoingFit:- is a concern on Good to Firm, but a Stuart Williams yard running at 15% and a market that has moved 16% inward suggests connections are confident the ground won't be an issue today. Each-way alternative: Astrazar. Main danger: Astrazar — Astrazar (SR 93, 10/3) is the second-highest SR in the field, has a 7% market move inward, carries just 9-4 — the lightest weight — and a MarkMv:-2 means he's running below his last winning mark, giving him a structural edge if he reproduces his best.

Shortlist Elan d'Or, Astrazar, Silca Bay
Each-way: Astrazar Danger: Astrazar

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade