Nottingham 17:55 RESULTED
Class 5 18 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Racing To School Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)

Racing To School Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series) · 1m0f75y

Official Result

Racing To School Haydock Park Training Series Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bay Dream Believer (IRE) Kyle McHugh · Mark Walford
    18/1
  2. 2/1F
  3. 7/2
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Nottingham

17:55–20:43 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
No Knee Never silks
No Knee Never
Age 5 · 10-0
144350
69
70
69OR
5
10-0
11/2 6/1 5/1
No Knee Never won six starts back and has stayed competitive since, with thirds and fourths in between and today's trip and going both already covered. Rated 72 to top this field on a 21-day break, though unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Popeye Doyle silks
Popeye Doyle
Age 4 · 9-9
6-0297
64
45
64OR
4
9-9
22/1 14/1 22/1
Popeye Doyle was second three starts back and is quick to reappear, 12 days on, with today's trip and going already covered. Rated 69, he's yet to win in this sequence, but the placed effort underpins him as our pick.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Tees George silks
Tees George
Age 6 · 9-6
341843
61
70
61OR
6
9-6
4/1 10/3 7/2
Tees George finished third last time out, having won four starts back, with today's trip and going both covered 19 days on. An eighth three starts back is the outlier in an otherwise fairly consistent recent sequence.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Bay Dream Believer silks
Bay Dream Believer
Age 7 · 9-5
005176
60
59
60OR
7
9-5
11/1 9/1 11/1
Bay Dream Believer won three starts back but the last two efforts have been modest, sixth then seventh, and she rates the lowest of this six on 57. Today's trip and going are already covered, 18 days after her latest run.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sceptic silks
Sceptic
Age 6 · 9-4
945219
59
65
59OR
6
9-4
9/2 11/2 9/2
Sceptic won two starts back, and was second three starts back, but he finished ninth last time out and is back after a lengthy 34-day break. Today's trip and going are already covered, though he rates only 59 in a six-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Perfidia silks
Perfidia
Age 4 · 9-4
135912
59
74
59OR
4
9-4
11/10 10/11 Evs
Perfidia was runner-up last time out, and a winner two starts back, with two wins inside these last six starts. He has today's trip and going covered and returns in 18 days, though a below-par ninth three starts back is the blot.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 No Knee Never 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
2 Popeye Doyle 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Coral
3 Tees George 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
4 Bay Dream Believer 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Sceptic 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Coral
6 Perfidia 11/10 open 1.91 11/10 11/10 evn open 2.10 11/10 11/10 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tees George

Speculative

Tees George owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Adrian Nicholls Shay Farmer
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Perfidia

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/10 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Popeye Doyle

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Jessica Bedi
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Tees George
52.9 4/1
2 6. Perfidia
52.7 11/10
3 1. No Knee Never
48.7 11/2
4 5. Sceptic
48.6 9/2
5 4. Bay Dream Believer
45.6 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Perfidia
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 9-4
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Perfidia
Confidence: Medium

Perfidia holds the highest SR in the field at 74, and at 9-4 carries a weight advantage over No Knee Never (10-0) worth a meaningful edge in a Class 5 apprentice handicap on good to firm ground where weight matters. The Course:W1P1 record at Nottingham is a concrete positive in a six-runner field where no other rival has winning course form, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions. Jake Dickson's 15% strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic in the race, and at 11/10 the market is robustly confident — the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the only concern, but the SR superiority over this field is clear enough to absorb it. Each-way alternative: Sceptic. Main danger: No Knee Never — No Knee Never steamed in 15% in the market, steps down a class, and despite carrying top-weight of 10-0 has a SR matching the field-leaders and a trainer strike rate of 17% — the money may know this yard has this horse primed.

Shortlist Perfidia, No Knee Never, Sceptic
Each-way: Sceptic Danger: No Knee Never

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f75y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade