Darley Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m2f0y
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 125 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Manaar | 5/4 open 2.00 | — | 5/4 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 5/4 open 2.00 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Miss Scott | 10/11 open 2.38 | — | 8/13 open 2.25 | 8/13 open 2.25 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 4/5 open 2.25 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 3 Aunt Roberta | 33/1 open 15.00 | — | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 4 Aura Champagne | 17/2 open 7.50 | — | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Scarlet Letter | 50/1 open 67.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Manaar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Miss Scott (SR 104, 10/11) is the market's clear choice and the Mkt:in22% move is the most decisive signal in this small field — Gosden/Buick is as strong a combination as British racing offers (25% and 20% strike rates respectively), and the fact that she runs in a hood for the first time suggests connections are optimising her for this step up in class. Her SR of 104 lags Manaar's 156 on paper, but SR can be unreliable for lightly raced fillies with large upside, and the 22% market steamfire from a powerful yard indicates they expect significant improvement here. Manaar (SR 156) has drifted 12% from an already short price, which is a concrete warning sign that something is amiss — a drift of that magnitude on a 5/4 shot in a five-runner novice is not coincidental. The equal weight at 9-8 removes any burden argument against Miss Scott, and the Gosden yard's 25% career strike rate with 706 runners gives this market move genuine credibility. Each-way alternative: Manaar. Main danger: Manaar — Despite the 12% drift, Manaar's SR of 156 is the highest in the field by a wide margin and her 'W1P1' course record at Newbury means she has demonstrated she handles the track — if the drift is merely market rotation rather than a stable signal, she remains the most talented filly declared.