Nottingham 20:08 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Every Race Live On Racing Tv Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Every Race Live On Racing Tv Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 1m0f75y

Official Result

Every Race Live On Racing Tv Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thursday Girl (GB) Ashley Lewis · Ed Walker
    4/6F
  2. 3/1
  3. 18/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Effetto silks
Effetto
Age 3 · 9-2
146
3
9-2
9/1 17/2 9/1
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Moonlit Surf silks
Moonlit Surf
Age 3 · 9-2
6-654
73
78
73OR
3
9-2
4/1 FCST 7/2
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Sedeirah silks
Sedeirah
Age 3 · 9-2
62
146
3
9-2
10/1
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Stellar silks
Stellar
Age 3 · 9-2
154
3
9-2
2/1 32/17 2/1
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Thursday Girl silks
Thursday Girl
Age 3 · 9-2
5-222
76
91
76OR
3
9-2
11/8 3/2 5/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Effetto 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
2 Moonlit Surf 4/1 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 4/1 Bet365
3 Sedeirah 10/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Coral
4 Stellar 2/1 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Coral
5 Thursday Girl 11/8 open 2.63 5/4 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 11/8 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Stellar

High conviction

Stellar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Roger Varian Jack Mitchell
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sedeirah

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Edward Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Sedeirah

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Edward Bethell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Stellar
72.2 2/1
2 3. Sedeirah
65.9 10/1
3 1. Effetto
65.1 9/1
4 5. Thursday Girl
56.5 11/8
5 2. Moonlit Surf
53.1 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Stellar
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-2
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 91 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Stellar
Confidence: Medium

Stellar carries the highest SR in the field at 154, a clear edge over Effetto and Sedeirah (both SR 146) and well clear of the lower-rated runners. As Roger Varian's yard flagbearer — paired with Jack Mitchell (13%, 844 runners) over the less experienced Harry Davies on stablemate Effetto — all the stable signals point to Stellar as the #1 runner. The 9% drift is a concern and prevents a High confidence rating, but in a thin five-runner novice on level weights (all 9-2), SR superiority and the stronger jockey booking are decisive factors. Thursday Girl's market support is noted but her SR of 91 represents a significant ability gap against Stellar at the top of the market. Each-way alternative: Thursday Girl. Main danger: Thursday Girl — Thursday Girl has steamed in 9% in the market, boasts a consistent 5-222 form line showing serial placed efforts, and her trainer Ed Walker operates at 14% with an apprentice (Ashley Lewis, 15% strike rate) who clearly knows the filly — if she finally converts those places, she does so here at a price.

Shortlist Stellar, Thursday Girl, Effetto
Each-way: Thursday Girl Danger: Thursday Girl

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f75y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade