Market Rasen 16:40 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Jul 2026

Last Saturday Betway Boosts Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Betway Boosts Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m7f191y

Official Result

Betway Boosts Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Giovanni Change (FR) Jamie Hamilton · Mark Walford
    7/1
  2. Second Yes Day (IRE)
    4/1
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 25 Jul King George Vi And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Group 1) Ascot · 16:10

Curragh

13:10–17:45 · 9 races

Market Rasen

13:35–17:15 · 7 races

Newbury

13:55–17:20 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:00–17:30 · 7 races

Ripon

14:05–17:35 · 7 races

Newmarket (July)

14:30–17:25 · 6 races

Doncaster

17:40–21:00 · 7 races

Nottingham

17:55–20:43 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Special John silks
Special John
Age 7 · 12-2
552-12
112
104
112OR
7
12-2
9/4 32/17 9/4
Runner-up last time out and with a win two starts back plus another second three starts back, the form has been solid across its last five starts. Already run over today's trip and going, though a pair of fifths further back and 38 days off are worth noting before backing it up in class.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Yes Day silks
Yes Day
Age 8 · 12-1
68P-23
111
101
111OR
8
12-1
5/1 5/1 9/2
Third last time out having been a close second the run before, with a quick fitness turnaround after just 17 days. Already run over today's trip and going and tops this field on our figures, though it remains without a win in its last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Giovanni Change silks
Giovanni Change
Age 11 · 11-11
P13-35
107
100
107OR
11
11-11
17/2 11/1 17/2
Fifth last time out, but that follows back-to-back thirds and a win four starts back, so the underlying form is stronger than the final placing suggests. Already run over today's trip and going, though 42 days off and a pulled-up effort further back are the queries against it.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sir Carnegie silks
Sir Carnegie
Age 6 · 11-7
42-311
103
106
103OR
6
11-7
10/3 2/1 10/3
Won last time out and again two starts back, backed up by a third three starts back and a runner-up four starts back — plenty of recent placed form on the board. Already run over today's trip and going, but 42 days off and only fifth of seven on our figures leave it needing to bounce straight back to form.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Redbridge Rambler silks
Redbridge Rambler
Age 8 · 11-4
345-14
100
99
100OR
8
11-4
11/2 6/1 9/2
Fourth last time out, though that came after a win two starts back and a further third five starts back, so there's solid ability in the mix. Already run over today's trip and going, but a 42-day absence and a modest recent finish leave a slight question over sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
You Did silks
You Did
Age 6 · 10-6
216P-0
88
86
88OR
6
10-6
9/1 11/1 9/1
Unplaced last time out, and pulled up two starts back, a poor recent sequence despite a win and a runner-up further back. Already run over today's trip and going and freshened up after just 13 days, but sits bottom of our figures in this field of seven.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Millena Agent silks
Millena Agent
Age 6 · 10-4
P2-373
86
85
86OR
6
10-4
10/1 10/1 9/1
Third last time out and third again three starts back, either side of a below-par seventh, with a runner-up four starts back. Yet to win in that spell, though already run over today's trip and going and fresh after 20 days — sixth of seven on our figures is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Special John 9/4 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.88 5/2 Coral
2 Yes Day 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
3 Giovanni Change 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365
4 Sir Carnegie 10/3 open 3.00 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 Coral
5 Redbridge Rambler 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
6 You Did 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Millena Agent 10/1 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sir Carnegie

Live signal

Sir Carnegie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Mickey Bowen Shane Fenelon(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Special John

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Sam Thomas
✓ Value Signal

Millena Agent

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

10/1 · Mark Walford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Sir Carnegie
61.8 10/3
2 1. Special John
60.0 9/4
3 2. Yes Day
59.3 5/1
4 3. Giovanni Change
56.8 17/2
5 5. Redbridge Rambler
56.1 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sir Carnegie
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 12-2
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-7
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 12-1
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 11-4
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 11 · 11-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 10-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 10-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sir Carnegie
Confidence: Medium

Sir Carnegie (SR 106, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a relatively manageable 11-7, giving him a 9lb weight advantage over top-weight Special John (SR 104, 12-2) — a meaningful edge at this distance of nearly 3 miles where every pound counts. His form of 42-311 shows three consecutive placed/winning runs, culminating in back-to-back victories, and DistFit:+ confirms he is proven at today's trip. While Mickey Bowen's 15% stable strike rate is the strongest trainer metric in the race, the 40% market drift is the one concern — however, the opening price may simply have been too short given connections have been running him fresh (42 days off) and blinkers are retained from winning runs. The weight-adjusted SR edge over Special John and the distance fitness record make him the most credible winner. Each-way alternative: Special John. Main danger: Special John — Special John (SR 104, 9/4) is the market leader despite drifting 17%, shows a 1-2 in his last two runs which is strong recent form, and carries top-weight which suggests the handicapper respects him — if connections are confident enough to run him off 12-2 he may simply be better than his mark implies.

Shortlist Sir Carnegie, Special John, Giovanni Change, Redbridge Rambler
Each-way: Special John Danger: Special John

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m7f191y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Market Rasen Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade