Class 4 15 May 2026

Last Friday Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Hurdle (Div II) · 2m209y

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Mental Health Awareness Week Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Guet Apens (GB) Jack Tudor · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
    2/1F
  2. Second Maple (GB)
    7/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Zephlyn Non-Runner
Age 7 · 11-9
428/4-
84
104
7
11-9
SP FCST 22/1
Five-time winner on the Flat but 0-5 over hurdles; just a respectable fourth on recent handicap hurdle debut at Perth (2m4f, good) and may not be ideally suited by this drop back in trip.
1
Caelan
Age 5 · 12-0
52632-
92
111
5
12-0
13/2 11/2 13/2
Just 1-8 over hurdles but returned from break with creditable second behind in-form stablemate at Ffos Las (2m, good) last month and remains on a workable mark; respected.

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Inappropriate
Age 5 · 11-12
/5952-
88
111
5
11-12
11/1 9/1 11/1
Failed to win during rather mixed campaign last season but last month's keeping-on second at Newcastle (2m1f, good) was a good effort and the form has been well advertised by the winner since.

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Guet Apens
Age 6 · 11-11
312-
97
112
6
11-11
13/8 FCST 31/19
Useful on the Flat when trained in France and, after a long absence, has made solid start to British hurdling career this year; followed March's Carlisle novice win (2m1f, soft) with second behind subsequent Scottish Champion Hurdle winner Dedicated Hero in Kelso handicap (2m5f, good) last month; drops back in trip with cheekpieces/tongue-tie added here; good chance.

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Roarin' Success
Age 6 · 11-9
624-
91
105
6
11-9
SP FCST 16/1
Useful Flat handicapper; best run over hurdles when runner-up in a novice at Newcastle in January; fair form on the Flat since following a wind op; non-runner 8.05 Aintree Friday.

SR 91 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Disguisedlimit
Age 7 · 11-11
253P3-
87
110
7
11-11
28/1 12/1 28/1
Made the frame in four of his six chases for the Greenall/Guerriero stable last season and reverts to hurdling for new yard on a workable mark but others appeal more all the same; tongue-tie/cheekpieces removed.

SR 87 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Maple
Age 5 · 11-10
10P71-
88
109
5
11-10
5/1 7/1 5/1
Scored over hurdles at Sedgefield (2m1f, good) last month and also ran well on the Flat three weeks ago; likely to give another good account here but might find others better handicapped.

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Emerald Time
Age 5 · 11-4
/2F76-
90
111
5
11-4
17/2 18/1 15/2
Unexposed 5yo who made the frame in both bumpers and showed hurdling ability in his three qualifying runs in February/March; open to improvement on this handicap debut; market may guide.

SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Mr Lincoln
Age 6 · 11-1
58772-
89
105
6
11-1
4/1 13/2 4/1
0-8 over hurdles and has a tendency to race too freely but ran by far his best race for Iain Jardine when very close second at Carlisle (2m1f, good to soft) in March, and remains well handicapped on older Irish form.

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Mojo Ego
Age 6 · 11-1
82248-
99
110
6
11-1
16/1 10/1 14/1
Runner-up twice at Cartmel (2m1f) last summer and made the frame over C&D in November but absent since below-par run on Boxing Day and entitled to benefit from this outing.

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Zephlyn 25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
1 Caelan 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Coral
2 Inappropriate 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Coral
3 Guet Apens 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 13/8 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 2.63 7/4 William Hill
4 Roarin' Success 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
4 Disguisedlimit 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 40/1 open 13.00 40/1 Betfred
5 Maple 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 Bet365
8 Emerald Time 17/2 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 8/1 open 19.00 15/2 open 19.00 17/2 Bet365
9 Mr Lincoln 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
10 Mojo Ego 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Guet Apens

Speculative

Guet Apens owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Jack Tudor
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mr Lincoln

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Disguisedlimit

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Christopher Kellett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Guet Apens
58.2 13/8
2 9. Mr Lincoln
55.5 4/1
3 1. Caelan
54.5 13/2
4 8. Emerald Time
54.4 17/2
5 5. Maple
53.5 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Mojo Ego
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-11
13/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 11-1
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 11-10
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 11-4
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 11-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mojo Ego
Confidence: Medium

Mojo Ego leads the field with SR 99 and is trading at 11/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-1 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Mojo Ego, Guet Apens, Caelan, Roarin' Success, Emerald Time
Each-way: Guet Apens Danger: Caelan

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m209y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Aintree Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade