Class 2 15 May 2026

Last Friday Darley EBF "Confined" Novice Stakes (For Horses With No More Than Two Runs) (GBB Race)

Darley EBF "Confined" Novice Stakes (For Horses With No More Than Two Runs) (GBB Race) · 7f192y

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Darley EBF "Confined" Novice Stakes (For Horses With No More Than Two Runs) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Portcullis (GB) William Buick · John & Thady Gosden
    EvensF
  2. 16/1
  3. Third Pearl (FR)
    20/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Test Run Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-3
4-
53
74
3
9-3
SP FCST 28/1
Late headway when fourth of ten, beaten just over 7l, at 80-1 on debut in a warm maiden at Doncaster (1m, soft) last September; others have much stronger form but there's plenty of potential in his pedigree and he could be capable of considerably better; not ruled out each-way.
1
Pearl
Age 4 · 9-11
52
4
9-11
16/1 12/1 14/1
Ninth foal; sister to French 1,000 Guineas/French Oaks winner Avenir Certain, half-sister to two winners; dam Group-placed 7f 2yo winner; with a top trainer but this 4yo is in a tough race against males on her belated debut.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Portcullis
Age 3 · 9-9
1
73
96
3
9-9
6/5 5/6 11/10
Belied a market drift, slow start and evident inexperience to win by just over 5l at 7-1 on debut in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket (1m, good) four weeks ago; leading claims under a 6lb penalty for top stable that has won the last three runnings of this race.

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Celtic Chariot
Age 3 · 9-3
3
49
67
3
9-3
100/1 FCST 66/1
Displayed ability when third of five at 33-1 on debut at Doncaster (7f, good to firm) three weeks ago; open to improvement but a sizeable step forward is needed if he's to threaten in this hot contest.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Ervani
Age 3 · 9-3
2
58
80
3
9-3
14/1 9/1 12/1
4-1 when runner-up to the experienced, 1-4 favourite on recent debut at Wetherby (1m, good to firm); his attractive pedigree suggests that he will progress and he's in good hands to do just that.

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Lord d'Or
Age 3 · 9-3
6-
40
59
3
9-3
22/1 16/1 20/1
His dam was a German 1m Group 3 winner and he could be much sharper today than at Kempton (7f, AW) last August on sole 2yo start, when slowly away and soundly beaten; however, others have far more obvious claims.

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Weheedd
Age 3 · 9-3
2
70
92
3
9-3
11/10 11/10 5/6
200,000gns yearling who was well backed into 100-30 when runner-up on last month's debut at Yarmouth (1m, good); that form reads very well in view of the subsequent handicap exploits of the first and third and he looks to have a very bright future; one to consider.

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Always Blue
Age 3 · 8-12
2
61
77
3
8-12
40/1 18/1 28/1
Sister to a Swedish winner; 12-1 when 1l second of five on debut at Ripon (1m2f, good) three weeks ago; could settle better today in a first-time hood and she's open to improvement, but this tough task may be beyond her.

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Test Run 40/1 28/1 28/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
1 Pearl 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 14/1 16/1 Bet365
2 Portcullis 6/5 open 1.83 11/10 open 1.91 11/10 open 1.91 5/4 open 1.83 6/5 open 1.83 5/4 William Hill
3 Celtic Chariot 100/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
4 Ervani 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Lord d'Or 22/1 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Weheedd 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 11/10 5/6 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 Bet365
8 Always Blue 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 21.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Portcullis

Speculative

Portcullis owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 John & Thady Gosden William Buick
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Weheedd

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/10 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Always Blue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Harriet Bethell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Portcullis
53.0 6/5
2 7. Weheedd
51.0 11/10
3 1. Pearl
42.3 16/1
4 4. Ervani
39.8 14/1
5 8. Always Blue
35.4 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Portcullis
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-3
11/10
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
6/5
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 3 · 9-3
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 4 · 9-11
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Portcullis
Confidence: Medium

Portcullis leads the field with SR 73 and is trading at 5/6. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Portcullis, Weheedd, Always Blue, Ervani, Test Run
Each-way: Weheedd Danger: Always Blue

🗺 The Course Class 2

7f192y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade