15 May 2026

Last Friday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 1m2f

1048-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Diamond Exchange (IRE) Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington
    11/4F
  2. 15/2
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Summer Snow
Age 6 · 10-4
11380-
66
82
6
10-4
28/1 14/1 25/1
Progressive in handicaps at 7f/1m last season; possibly a bit high in the ratings now; plenty of weight here for her seasonal debut, 19lb higher than when winning the apprentice handicap on this card 12 months ago.

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Chica Guerrera
Age 4 · 10-0
233-02
62
81
4
10-0
4/1
Tramore 1m4f winner last August and finished the season well with placed efforts in big fields on heavy ground at the Curragh; recent Sligo second was on very soft ground; would probably benefit from an ease.

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Great Mover
Age 4 · 9-9
25-056
64
86
4
9-9
9/2 6/1 4/1
Won on heavy ground at Gowran last September; has failed to retrieve her best form in three outings this term, though she was aimed high in the Irish Lincoln and was not beaten far in sixth at Limerick on latest.

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Inthesmallhours
Age 5 · 9-8
521/0
49
86
5
9-8
10/1 28/1 8/1
Easy winner of 1m4f AW maiden just before Christmas 2024; did not appear in 2025; soft ground was probably against her on recent comeback at Sligo, eased after her chance had gone.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Timeless Charm
Age 5 · 9-7
35130-
71
84
5
9-7
14/1 16/1 14/1
Two wins in Britain were on AW; ground should suit but might prefer a longer trip; hard-earned Newcastle win last September was over an extended 1m4f.

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Eastern Peace
Age 4 · 9-6
/9419-
68
85
4
9-6
16/1
AW maiden winner, unplaced on handicap debut; not much experience on turf; stable's current form is a positive.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Tatum
Age 5 · 9-1
23121-
74
81
5
9-1
17/2 7/1 8/1
Very reliable in the first half of last season, notching two wins at this venue and three places elsewhere between May and July; wins were over 1m4f and 1m5f, and this trip is shorter than ideal for her seasonal debut.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Tofino
Age 4 · 9-1
2309-7
67
82
4
9-1
8/1 12/1 15/2
Won a Curragh handicap over 1m on good ground last year; put in a satisfactory effort at Navan last month when tackling this trip for the first time; worth considering.

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Star Mind
Age 5 · 9-0
0-8351
75
87
5
9-0
12/1 4/1 12/1
Was fit from Dundalk when winning an amateur riders' race over 1m1f here a month ago; 9lb rise offset by rider's claim; one for the shortlist.

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Casheldale Lass
Age 4 · 8-9
1167-0
76
84
4
8-9
7/1 10/1 7/1
Won Gowran and Naas handicaps last year; needs to step up from a low-key return at Navan; held by Tofino.

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Summer Snow 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
2 Chica Guerrera 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Coral
4 Great Mover 9/2 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Inthesmallhours 10/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 34.00 10/1 open 34.00 10/1 open 29.00 8/1 open 34.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Timeless Charm 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Eastern Peace 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
8 Tatum 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
9 Tofino 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
10 Star Mind 12/1 open 5.50 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Casheldale Lass 7/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 12.00 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Chica Guerrera

Speculative

Chica Guerrera owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Mark Fahey Reese Holohan(7)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Casheldale Lass

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Andrew Kinirons
✓ Value Signal

Summer Snow

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Peter Lawlor
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
24 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +1.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Chica Guerrera
49.8 4/1
2 11. Casheldale Lass
49.3 7/1
3 4. Great Mover
48.5 9/2
4 9. Tofino
47.4 8/1
5 8. Tatum
46.2 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Casheldale Lass
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-0
4/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 4 · 9-9
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Age 4 · 8-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-1
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 5 · 9-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-8
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Age 5 · 9-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Casheldale Lass
Confidence: Medium

Casheldale Lass leads the field with SR 76 and is trading at 10/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Casheldale Lass, Star Mind, Tatum, Timeless Charm, Eastern Peace
Each-way: Star Mind Danger: Tatum

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting