15 May 2026

Last Friday Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden · 1m

1548-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Full Moon Tonight (GB) Robert Whearty · Gavin Cromwell
    25/1
  2. 3/1
  3. 10/11F
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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Avoca Woods
Age 3 · 9-8
8
39
55
3
9-8
100/1 80/1 66/1
Sea The Moon colt reportedly didn't handle testing ground on last month's Curragh debut; better ground should suit.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Coasting
Age 3 · 9-8
45
63
81
3
9-8
25/1 28/1 22/1
Bated Breath gelding posted okay efforts last month at Dundalk and when slow-starting fifth (Suspicious Mindz second) in stronger Cork contest over today's trip; more required.

SR 63 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Daring Heart
Age 3 · 9-8
5-
69
88
3
9-8
11/4
Kodi Bear half-brother to five winners inc Bobby Bennu (7f/7.6f inc AW; RPR 105), Mattymolls Gaga (7f inc 2yo/HK; 93) and Lord Clenaghcastle (5f-8.5f inc 2yo/AW; 87); dam maiden; definite promise on only 2yo start, staying on well after not clear run in decent Curragh maiden in August; improvement likely and one to consider.

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Farewell To Arms
Age 3 · 9-8
8-
33
49
3
9-8
150/1 100/1 125/1
Half-brother to six winners inc Lord Riddiford (prolific 5f inc 2yo/AW/Listed; RPR 107), Mister Freeze (6f/7f AW; 76) and Hope Probe (5f/7f; 71); dam placed 1m1f, out of 1m winning half-sister to Middle Park winner First Trump; never sighted in late-season Gowran 2yo maiden; tongue-tie fitted for return but can only be watched.

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Mr Perth
Age 3 · 9-8
87
42
58
3
9-8
200/1 40/1 100/1
Couple of modest enough runs this term on testing ground, more likely one for handicaps.

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Sunrush
Age 3 · 9-8
74-
49
66
3
9-8
14/1 20/1 12/1
Yard in form but this colt produced two moderate efforts in maidens last season at Tipperary (7f, yielding) and the Curragh (7f, yld-sft); probably best watched upped in trip on seasonal return.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Suspicious Mindz
Age 3 · 9-8
8353-2
81
95
3
9-8
10/11 3/2 10/11
Sets a good standard on his Tipperary Listed third of last season and most recently when second in Cork maiden over this trip last month (third has won since); 6l ahead of Coasting then.

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Thistle Cross
Age 3 · 9-8
00-
42
59
3
9-8
300/1 125/1 200/1
Couple of modest AW efforts late last year, easily overlooked now on turf debut.

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Trustmore
Age 3 · 9-8
7-
64
83
3
9-8
8/1 15/2 8/1
Sioux Nation colt never landed a blow on sole 2yo outing but did make late headway when beaten little over 4l in decent Curragh maiden; 1.5l off Daring Heart then so improvement needed and cheekpieces fitted here.

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
De Songbird
Age 3 · 9-3
76
54
69
3
9-3
125/1 50/1 100/1
No real threat in maidens both here and at Naas last month; eligible for a mark after this.

SR 54 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Full Moon Tonight
Age 3 · 9-3
3-4
65
79
3
9-3
25/1 10/1 22/1
Shaped promisingly on both AW runs over the winter, second occasion slightly hampered when beaten only 1l into fourth over 7f; more needed now upped in trip.

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Kirkland Sioux
Age 3 · 9-3
58
3
9-3
13/2 6/1 11/2
Sioux Nation filly is first foal of a 1m4f winner (RPR 83), a half-sister to 7f 2yo Group 3 winner Heavens Gate, out of 1m winning half-sister to 1,000 Guineas winner Ghanaati; yard in red-hot form so market support for this newcomer has to be noted.

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Make The Tide
Age 3 · 9-3
58
3
9-3
33/1 16/1 25/1
Make Believe half-sister to 7f 2yo winner Hopewell Rock (RPR 110); dam unraced sister to 1m 2yo Group 1 (Racing Post Trophy) winner Marcel; another debutante for whom market should be informative.

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Matilda Joslyngage
Age 3 · 9-3
762-
76
91
3
9-3
18/1 6/1 16/1
Much improved on final 2yo start when upped to 1m, staying on well into second late on at Thurles (good-to-yielding);

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Saga Gaga
Age 3 · 9-3
58
3
9-3
33/1 18/1 33/1
Lucky Vega half-sister to 7f winner Far Ahead (RPR 77); dam 1m2f winner (70), closely related to useful 1m-1m2f winner Sagaciously; yard yet to have a 2yo winner this season.

SR 58 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Avoca Woods 100/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 66/1 open 81.00 80/1 80/1 100/1 Bet365
2 Coasting 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Daring Heart 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Betfred
4 Farewell To Arms 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 Bet365
5 Mr Perth 200/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 open 41.00 200/1 Bet365
6 Sunrush 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Betfred
7 Suspicious Mindz 10/11 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 open 2.50 evn open 2.63 evn Betfred
8 Thistle Cross 300/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 151.00 250/1 open 151.00 300/1 Bet365
9 Trustmore 8/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Coral
10 De Songbird 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 125/1 Bet365
11 Full Moon Tonight 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 Betfred
12 Kirkland Sioux 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Coral
13 Make The Tide 33/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
14 Matilda Joslyngage 18/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 18/1 open 7.00 20/1 Coral
15 Saga Gaga 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Suspicious Mindz

Speculative

Suspicious Mindz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Mrs John Harrington Shane Foley
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Daring Heart

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · G M Lyons
✓ Value Signal

Saga Gaga

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · M D O'Callaghan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Suspicious Mindz
55.9 10/11
2 3. Daring Heart
47.0 11/4
3 12. Kirkland Sioux
46.9 13/2
4 9. Trustmore
45.1 8/1
5 14. Matilda Joslyngage
41.4 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Suspicious Mindz
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-8
10/11
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-3
13/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 9-8
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Age 3 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Suspicious Mindz
Confidence: Medium

Suspicious Mindz leads the field with SR 81 and is trading at 7/4. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-8 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Suspicious Mindz, Matilda Joslyngage, Daring Heart, Full Moon Tonight, Trustmore
Each-way: Matilda Joslyngage Danger: Daring Heart

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Leopardstown Track and setting