Class 5 15 May 2026

Last Friday Horse Comes First Handicap

Horse Comes First Handicap · 6f

948-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Horse Comes First Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Akabusi (GB) Saffie Osborne · Mike Murphy
    100/30
  2. Second Nebulon (IRE)
    8/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
2
Ecclefechan
Age 3 · 9-8
442-55
65
81
3
9-8
13/8 7/4 3/2
Maiden who had some useful 2yo form, including in a competitive 7f handicap on this course before going close against a big improver over 6f on Lingfield AW in November; satisfactory reappearance in March but was seriously hampered at Ripon since; interesting contender.

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Angels' Share silks
Angels' Share
Age 3 · 9-9
2110-8
75
74
80
3
9-9
SP
Plenty in hand when winning two in a row at Lingfield last August/September (7f, AW; maiden/handicap); however, well beaten back on turf on both runs since and she has something to prove on grass.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Akabusi
Age 3 · 9-7
2-9488
67
84
3
9-7
4/1 6/1 7/2
Two 6f wins on turf and AW for previous trainers and he ran right up to his best when a close fourth on Lingfield AW for this one in April; has had some excuses before and since and, while he's on the exposed side now, a good run can't be ruled out back on turf.

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Logi Bear
Age 3 · 9-7
5000-6
72
81
3
9-7
5/1 5/1 9/2
Busy 2yo for Richard Hannon, winning a C&D novice last May and sometimes acquitting himself well after, despite having stiff tasks; has dropped down the weights and he ran respectably on yard/AW debut at Newcastle recently (7-2), eased when beaten; may well do much better back on turf.

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Nebulon
Age 3 · 9-6
6-23
67
80
3
9-6
13/2 9/2 6/1
All three runs at 6f, doing best when runner-up on Wolverhampton AW in March following a layoff; those either side haven't distinguished themselves since and he himself faded at Newcastle in April but he's been gelded since and handicaps are more realistic now.

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Quantum Power
Age 3 · 9-6
2104-7
68
80
3
9-6
18/1 20/1 16/1
Won Beverley maiden (5f, soft) in September; not much between him and Akabusi on an AW run later but he never reached a challenging position on his Bath return (50-1) in April and some weight off his back wouldn't go amiss; visor refitted.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
King Of Chaos
Age 3 · 9-5
150597
65
79
3
9-5
10/1 10/1 17/2
Yard won this in 2024; off the mark when making all in 7f Lingfield AW maiden in February on third run for new trainer but he's rarely reached the same level since and has something to prove on the return to 6f.

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Daizen silks
Daizen
Age 3 · 9-6
221-50
72
74
80
3
9-6
SP
Down the field in good-ground handicaps on his two starts this year, the latest at Hamilton on Sunday; however, he won a soft-ground maiden at Ayr (6f) last September and the return to a slow surface may be just what he needs.

SR 74 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Southern Warrior
Age 3 · 9-4
3-5413
73
84
3
9-4
40/1 17/2 28/1
Successful handicap debut on Newcastle AW (6f) in March for George Scott but he went up 3lb and was just a onepaced third of five at Kempton after; sold for 10,000gns since; still relatively early days but this might be needed for new trainer on first turf run.

SR 73 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
2 Ecclefechan 13/8 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.88 7/4 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 William Hill
2 Angels' Share
3 Akabusi 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 Bet365
5 Logi Bear 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Nebulon 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
7 Quantum Power 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
9 King Of Chaos 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Daizen
10 Southern Warrior 40/1 open 10.00 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 10.00 33/1 open 9.50 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Logi Bear

Speculative

Logi Bear owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 John Butler Jack Callan(3)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ecclefechan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · John Ryan
✓ Value Signal

Southern Warrior

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Olly Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Logi Bear
52.0 5/1
2 2. Ecclefechan
48.1 13/8
3 3. Akabusi
48.1 4/1
4 6. Nebulon
47.5 13/2
5 9. Daizen
46.9 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Southern Warrior
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
13/8
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-6
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Southern Warrior
Confidence: Medium

Southern Warrior leads the field with SR 73 and is trading at 9/1. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Southern Warrior, Logi Bear, Quantum Power, Akabusi, Nebulon
Each-way: Logi Bear Danger: Quantum Power

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade