Class 4 15 May 2026

Last Friday Trade Nation Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Trade Nation Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f

1448-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Trade Nation Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Extremely Zain (FR) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas
    8/11F
  2. 11/4
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Updated 5 days, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Wintercast Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
8
3
9-4
SP
Non-runner.
1
Extremely Zain
Age 3 · 9-11
1-
80
95
3
9-11
4/5 18/13 4/5
185,000euros breeze-up 2yo; sent off 5-2 when coming home 7l clear on his Newcastle debut (6f, AW) in December; the form hasn't really worked out and he has a 7lb penalty, but this St James's Palace Stakes entry shouldn't be underestimated.

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Anton Mauve
Age 3 · 9-4
89
51
68
3
9-4
200/1 100/1 125/1
250,000gns yearling, but well held in two 7f AW novices last month; needs a good deal more.

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Big Snoopy
Age 3 · 9-4
8
24
39
3
9-4
80/1 50/1 66/1
300,000gns yearling; 12-1 when a tailed-off last of eight on his Newmarket debut (7f, good) last month; bred to be much better than that, but needs the tongue-tie to make a big difference.

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Binmalk
Age 3 · 9-4
53
3
9-4
14/1 14/1 12/1
First foal; dam Listed-placed 7f 2yo/1m AW winner (RPR 106), sister to winners Benbatl (1m1f/1m2f Group 1) and Modaara (useful 1m2f/1m4f), half-sister to 1,000 Guineas winner Elmalka (by Kingman), out of 1m2f Group 1/Grade 1 winner; makes plenty of appeal on breeding and stable has a fine record with 3yo newcomers.

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Debrief
Age 3 · 9-4
4-
35
51
3
9-4
125/1 66/1 100/1
100,000gns foal; finished a well-beaten fourth of six on his Yarmouth debut (6f, good; 100-30) in October; major improvement required.

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
English Time
Age 3 · 9-4
8-
59
77
3
9-4
18/1 20/1 16/1
260,000gns yearling; some promise when finishing in midfield on his Newmarket debut (7f, good) in October; bred to be better than that, but he may need more time.

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Erudition
Age 3 · 9-4
3
65
89
3
9-4
7/2 9/2 10/3
8-1 when a promising third of 12 on his Leicester debut (7f, good) last month; the runner-up won easily back there last Saturday; high on list.

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Oceti
Age 3 · 9-4
6-8
63
81
3
9-4
10/1 15/2 9/1
Out of the frame in both starts, but not disgraced when eighth of 25 on his reappearance here (1m, good) last month (form working out well); may still be one for handicaps after this, though.

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Odogwu
Age 3 · 9-4
53
3
9-4
20/1 12/1 18/1
110,000gns foal; 125,000gns yearling; half-brother to 7f AW 2yo winner Char (RPR 87); dam placed 1m AW in France only run (74), half-sister to winners Rahiyah (6f 2yo/French 1,000 Guineas third) and League Champion (useful 5f/6f); stable, also responsible for Race To The Edge, gets plenty of 3yo winners first time out; market useful.

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Petworth
Age 3 · 9-4
53
3
9-4
20/1 14/1 16/1
260,000euros foal; 400,000euros yearling; first foal; dam German 1m-1m3f winner (including German Oaks; RPR 110), sister to French 1m 2yo Listed winner Penny Lane, half-sister to winners Peace Royale (1m Group 3), Peaceful Love (1m Group 3) and Phiz (Group-placed 1m5f); makes plenty of appeal on pedigree and interesting to see what the market says about him; stable also runs Stormy Music.

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Red Moon
Age 3 · 9-4
6-
39
55
3
9-4
66/1 40/1 50/1
28-1 when a well-beaten sixth of eight on his Kempton debut (7f, AW) in December; a couple of those ahead of him won next time, but much more is still needed.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Sponsor
Age 3 · 9-4
94
69
88
3
9-4
16/1 12/1 14/1
Both starts over 1m, stepping up from last month's debut here (good) when beaten 2l into fourth of 11 at Windsor (good to firm) 11 days ago; each-way claims if taking another step forward.

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Guitar Solo
Age 3 · 8-13
5
50
65
3
8-13
80/1 50/1 80/1
16-1 when fifth of seven on her Salisbury debut (7f, good to firm) 12 days ago; needs to take a big step forward.

SR 50 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Stormy Music
Age 3 · 8-13
6-
56
71
3
8-13
16/1 15/2 14/1
Sent off 11-2 when sixth of 11 on her debut here (6f, good) last August; plenty of winners have come out of that race; worth a second look.

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Wintercast
1 Extremely Zain 4/5 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.50 5/6 open 2.50 4/5 open 2.38 10/11 open 2.50 10/11 Betfred
2 Anton Mauve 200/1 open 126.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 150/1 open 101.00 200/1 Bet365
3 Big Snoopy 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
4 Binmalk 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Betfred
5 Debrief 125/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
6 English Time 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Erudition 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
8 Oceti 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Betfred
9 Odogwu 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Petworth 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 Bet365
12 Red Moon 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
13 Sponsor 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
15 Guitar Solo 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
16 Stormy Music 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Extremely Zain

Speculative

Extremely Zain owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 William Haggas Cieren Fallon
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Erudition

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Guitar Solo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Richard Hannon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Extremely Zain
52.8 4/5
2 7. Erudition
48.6 7/2
3 13. Sponsor
43.4 16/1
4 4. Binmalk
43.2 14/1
5 8. Oceti
42.3 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Extremely Zain
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-11
4/5
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 3 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 3 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-4
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Extremely Zain
Confidence: Medium

Extremely Zain leads the field with SR 80 and is trading at 11/8. The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-11 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Extremely Zain, Sponsor, Erudition, Oceti, English Time
Each-way: Sponsor Danger: Erudition

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade