Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m0f0y
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Flawless Fusion | 10/1 open 12.00 | — | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | — | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Fractional | 10/11 | — | 10/11 | 10/11 | 10/11 | — | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 3 Princess Honey Bee | 7/1 open 7.00 | — | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 Prosperity | 2/1 | — | 15/8 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 2.75 | — | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Roccapina | 40/1 open 26.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | — | 50/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Prosperity owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No steamers in this race.
Prosperity (SR 154) towers over this field on ability — the next-best rated runner is Fractional at SR 88, a gap of 66 points that is extraordinary even allowing for the fact that Prosperity is unraced. An SR of 154 places her firmly in the competitive handicap-mark range, far above the workmanlike-to-out-of-depth profile of every other runner here. K.R. Burke operates at a 19% career strike rate from 628 runners — a serious yard that does not enter an expensive youngster in a Class 4 fillies' novice without intent — and Clifford Lee at 16% career strike rate is a confident booking. The only caveat is the absence of any racecourse form (Form:------), hence Medium rather than High confidence, but the SR gap is so vast it is hard to construct a realistic winning scenario for any rival. Each-way alternative: Fractional. Main danger: Fractional — Fractional (SR 88, 10/11 favourite) has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip, runs for William Haggas (22% strike rate, the standout trainer stat in this field outside Burke), and is the one runner whose market confidence — presumably built on strong home work — could reflect a debut maiden win that the SR model has not yet fully captured.