Southwell (AW) 17:00 27 Jul 2026
Class 4 27 Jul 2026

Today Prestige Safety Construction Safety Specialists Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Prestige Safety Construction Safety Specialists Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 0m7f14y

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  • 12 declared
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AI rates Spaceman Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 11 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Storm Free silks
Storm Free
Age 4 · 10-3
21-606
86
88
86OR
4
10-3
5/2 11/2 5/2
A winner four starts back and runner-up five starts back, this gelding has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 46-day break carrying 143 lb from stall 3. He tops our figures at 94, well clear of this field, with only that lay-off a slight concern.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Breakdancer silks
Breakdancer
Age 4 · 10-1
-23258
84
86
84OR
4
10-1
4/1 15/2 4/1
Eighth last time out, a step back from runner-up efforts three and five starts back, this gelding has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 25-day break. Rated 82 by us and fifth of twelve, the underlying form is solid enough, but that finishing effort needs putting right.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Chalk Mountain silks
Chalk Mountain
Age 6 · 9-12
1-1867
81
71
81OR
6
9-12
10/1 6/1 10/1
A winner four and five starts back, this gelding returns quickly on just 17 days and has run over today's trip and going before. Rated 87 by us — second of twelve — a leading threat, though his last three runs (seventh, sixth, eighth) sit below that earlier level.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
City Of Kings silks
City Of Kings
Age 6 · 9-9
516/0
78
47
78OR
6
9-9
50/1 22/1 40/1
A winner three starts back, this gelding has since found only sixth and was unplaced last time out. He has run over today's trip before and returns from a 46-day break, rated 77 by us — ninth of twelve — with little in the recent form to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bloodsweatandtyres silks
Bloodsweatandtyres
Age 4 · 9-7
31-00
76
52
76OR
4
9-7
50/1 18/1 40/1
A winner three starts back, this gelding has since been unplaced in each of his last two starts. He has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 30-day break, but the yard is out of form (0 from 24 in the last fortnight) and he rates just 76 — eleventh of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Asteverdi silks
Asteverdi
Age 5 · 9-7
50-373
76
66
76OR
5
9-7
11/1 5/1 10/1
Third last time out and third again three starts back, this mare arrives with her yard in good recent form (37% winners in the last fortnight) and has run over today's trip and going before. Rated 83 by us, fourth of twelve — a leading danger despite being without a win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tropez Power silks
Tropez Power
Age 7 · 9-7
56-688
76
46
76OR
7
9-7
33/1 16/1 33/1
Eighth last time out and eighth two starts back too, this gelding's recent figures have been consistently modest, with a best of sixth three and four starts back. He has run over today's trip and going before, returns from a 24-day break, and is rated 77 by us — tenth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Peter The Wolf silks
Peter The Wolf
Age 4 · 9-7
710-60
76
50
76OR
4
9-7
50/1 18/1 40/1
A winner four starts back, this gelding has since been unplaced last time out and unplaced three starts back too, a mixed picture. He has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 48-day break, rated 80 by us — sixth of twelve on figures.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

9
Ash Wednesday silks
Ash Wednesday
Age 5 · 9-3
-85237
72
64
72OR
5
9-3
14/1 14/1 12/1
Seventh last time out having been runner-up three starts back and third two starts back, this gelding has run over today's trip and going before but returns after 88 days. Rated 77 by us, eighth of twelve — decent form somewhere in there, though the long absence is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Spaceman silks
Spaceman
Age 3 · 9-0
2-31
76
90
76OR
3
9-0
5/2 11/4 9/4
A winner last time out having been third two starts back and runner-up three starts back, this colt is building solid recent form. He has run over today's going before and returns from a 41-day break, rated 80 by us — seventh of twelve — lightly raced but clearly progressive.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Lucky Luna silks
Lucky Luna
Age 3 · 8-12
461
74
71
74OR
3
8-12
11/1 9/2 10/1
A winner last time out, this filly is nonetheless our bottom-rated runner here at 66 — well below her official mark of 74. She has run over today's trip before and returns from a 48-day break; the form looks better on paper than our figures allow, twelfth of twelve.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Exotic Baby silks
Exotic Baby
Age 3 · 8-10
-50457
72
56
72OR
3
8-10
20/1 14/1 20/1
Seventh last time out and winless in his last five starts, this gelding nonetheless rates 85 with us — third of twelve, some 13 lb above his official mark of 72. He has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 31-day break, an interesting contender on figures alone.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Storm Free 5/2 open 8.00 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 Coral
2 Breakdancer 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Chalk Mountain 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365
4 City Of Kings 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Bet365
5 Bloodsweatandtyres 50/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 Bet365
6 Asteverdi 11/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 11/1 Bet365
7 Tropez Power 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Peter The Wolf 50/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Ash Wednesday 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Spaceman 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 Bet365
11 Lucky Luna 11/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 6.00 11/1 Bet365
12 Exotic Baby 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Spaceman

Speculative

Spaceman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Richard & Peter Fahey Oisin Orr
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Breakdancer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
✓ Value Signal

City Of Kings

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Spaceman
58.2 5/2
2 2. Breakdancer
57.8 4/1
3 1. Storm Free
56.6 5/2
4 3. Chalk Mountain
49.7 10/1
5 6. Asteverdi
46.2 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Spaceman
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-3
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-0
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-1
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 8-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-3
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 8-10
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Spaceman
Confidence: Medium

Spaceman (SR 90, 5/2) carries the lowest weight in the race at 9-0 — a 17lb advantage over top-weight Storm Free (SR 88, 10-3) — while posting the highest SR in the field. His form reads 2-31, meaning a last-time-out win, and his GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground. The Fahey yard's market has tightened from opening (Mkt:in10%), and at just 3 years old his progressive profile is exactly the type to exploit weight-for-age allowances in a Class 4 handicap. Storm Free's 46-day absence combined with a poor recent string (606) and heavy top-weight of 10-3 dilutes what looks like market-made confidence. Each-way alternative: Breakdancer. Main danger: Storm Free — Storm Free (SR 88, 5/2) has steamed in 46% in the market — the sharpest move in the race — and drops a class with James Tate and Hector Crouch combining, so if connections know the 46-day break has sharpened him up, the weight burden of 10-3 may be offset by raw ability.

Shortlist Spaceman, Storm Free, Breakdancer
Each-way: Breakdancer Danger: Storm Free

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade