Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
City Of Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2A P O'BrienWayne Lordan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Trean
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/1 · P Twomey✓ Value Signal
Dakota Jack
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
80/1 · Paul W Flynn◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Our Boy Bailey holds the joint-highest SR in the field at 154, narrowly edging City Of Gold (152) and Trean (151), and carries no headgear burden while connections have Shane Foley booked — an 11% career strike-rate jockey who is a reliable signal for a yard going for a race. His form of '20' (placed on debut, then a 0 last time) needs context but a second on debut for the Harrington yard suggests he has the class to compete at this level. Crucially, the field is level-weights at 9-5 throughout, so the SR edge at 5/1 represents genuine each-way value with no weight disadvantage to offset it. City Of Gold is drifting 6% out and is the yard's second string — the booking of the less-experienced Wayne Lordan (8% strike rate) compared to Lordan's usual role confirms this is not the O'Brien stable's primary hope.
Each-way alternative: Yellow Sky.
Main danger: City Of Gold — City Of Gold carries the highest AI probability star rating alongside Our Boy Bailey at ★★★★☆, holds an SR of 152, and while drifting 6% the O'Brien yard's 22% strike rate means even their second string is dangerous in a field this modest.
ShortlistOur Boy Bailey, City Of Gold, Trean, Yellow Sky