Southwell (AW) 16:00 27 Jul 2026
Class 6 27 Jul 2026

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Prestige Safety Fire Risk Assessments Handicap Stakes · 1m0f13y

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  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Venetian Lion Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 10 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Mehmas Engine silks
Mehmas Engine Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-6
33999
62
62OR
3
9-6
SP FCST 50/1
1
Topathemorning silks
Topathemorning
Age 3 · 9-9
6-58
65
42
65OR
3
9-9
22/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in her last three starts, eighth last time out having been fifth two starts back. Has run over today's trip and going before, returns from a 39-day break carrying 135 lb from stall 13, and is rated 68 by us — fifth of thirteen on figures.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
Sagremor silks
Sagremor
Age 3 · 9-9
04-853
65
68
65OR
3
9-9
6/1 15/2 11/2
Third last time out, this gelding has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 66-day absence. Yet to win in his last five starts, he nonetheless tops our figures at 74 and rates the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Venetian Lion silks
Venetian Lion
Age 3 · 9-9
796
65
70
65OR
3
9-9
3/1 4/1 3/1
Modest recent form reads sixth last time out having been ninth two starts back, and this gelding rates only 53 — eleventh of thirteen here. He has run over today's trip and going before, returning from a 56-day break with little to suggest a leap forward.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Filly Eilish silks
Filly Eilish
Age 3 · 9-8
3266
64
42
64OR
3
9-8
25/1 16/1 20/1
Sixth last time out and again two starts back, this filly's better form came three starts back when runner-up. She has run over today's trip and going before, returns from a 52-day break, and is rated 64 by us — ninth of thirteen.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Thisonesforyou silks
Thisonesforyou
Age 3 · 9-7
815-93
63
63
63OR
3
9-7
9/1 7/1 9/1
Third last time out and a winner four starts back, this gelding returns quickly on just 19 days and has run over today's trip before. Rated 68 by us — third of thirteen — a leading danger, though his form either side of that win reads fifth and eighth.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Kiani King silks
Kiani King
Age 3 · 9-7
4496
63
68
63OR
3
9-7
9/2 6/1 9/2
Sixth last time out with two efforts of fourth three and four starts back, this gelding has run over today's going before but returns from a lengthy 67-day absence. Rated 66 by us, seventh of thirteen — steady without being spectacular, and the long layoff is the main query.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Bosom Pals silks
Bosom Pals
Age 3 · 9-6
810-40
62
42
62OR
3
9-6
50/1 28/1 50/1
A winner four starts back, this filly has run over today's trip and going before and returns from a 44-day break. Rated 69 by us — second of thirteen and a clear danger — though she was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Back At One silks
Back At One
Age 3 · 9-6
765
62
64
62OR
3
9-6
5/1 4/1 9/2
Fifth last time out having also been sixth two starts back, this gelding's figures decline the further back you look and he rates just 53 — twelfth of thirteen here. He has run over today's trip before and returns from a 31-day break, but little suggests improvement is imminent.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Cobalt Comet silks
Cobalt Comet
Age 3 · 9-6
663351
62
68
62OR
3
9-6
13/2 5/1 13/2
A winner last time out, this gelding was third three starts back, and third again four starts back. He has run over today's trip and going before, and rates 68 with us — fourth of thirteen — with only a 44-day layoff since that win to note.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Telfy Boy silks
Telfy Boy
Age 3 · 9-5
45724-
61
41
61OR
3
9-5
28/1 18/1 28/1
Fourth last time out having been runner-up two starts back, this colt has run over today's trip and going before but has not raced for 277 days. Rated 63 by us — tenth of thirteen — some form in there, though the lengthy absence is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Alkaios silks
Alkaios
Age 3 · 9-5
599
61
38
61OR
3
9-5
50/1 40/1 50/1
Ninth last time out and ninth two starts back too, this gelding's only sign of form came three starts back in fifth. He has run over today's trip and going before, returns from a 39-day break, and rates bottom of thirteen here on our figures at 51.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

13
Hatamoto silks
Hatamoto
Age 3 · 9-4
237211
60
71
60OR
3
9-4
7/1 5/1 7/1
A winner last time out and two starts back too, this gelding is in good form and returns quickly on just 11 days. He has run over today's trip before and rates 67 by us — sixth of thirteen — a fair notch above his official mark of 60.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Medyg silks
Medyg
Age 3 · 9-4
254-98
60
37
60OR
3
9-4
33/1 20/1 33/1
Eighth last time out and ninth two starts back, this gelding's better efforts came further back — fourth three starts back and a runner-up five starts back. He has run over today's trip and going before, returns from a 24-day break, and is rated 64 by us — eighth of thirteen.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Mehmas Engine 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
1 Topathemorning 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Coral
2 Sagremor 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 13/2 Coral
3 Venetian Lion 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 Coral
4 Filly Eilish 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Thisonesforyou 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 Coral
6 Kiani King 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 Coral
8 Bosom Pals 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
9 Back At One 5/1 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
10 Cobalt Comet 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 Coral
11 Telfy Boy 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
12 Alkaios 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
13 Hatamoto 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Coral
14 Medyg 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Venetian Lion

Speculative

Venetian Lion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 William Haggas Tom Marquand
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Back At One

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Telfy Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Martin Dunne
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Venetian Lion
51.5 3/1
2 9. Back At One
50.5 5/1
3 2. Sagremor
50.1 6/1
4 6. Kiani King
49.8 9/2
5 10. Cobalt Comet
49.5 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Venetian Lion
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-9
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 3 · 9-4
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Venetian Lion
Confidence: Medium

Venetian Lion (SR 70, 3/1) carries 9-9 but benefits from the strongest market move in the field — a 23% inward drift signals genuine confidence from those who know. Trained by William Haggas (22% career strike rate, the standout handler in this field) and ridden by Tom Marquand, this is a horse dropping two class tiers into a Class 6 Southwell AW handicap. The form string of 796 shows modest finishes but the tongue-tie (HG:t) first application alongside the Haggas/Marquand pairing targeting a race clearly within the horse's compass points firmly to a big run. At 3/1 the market has already spoken loudly and the connections profile backs that up. Each-way alternative: Sagremor. Main danger: Kiani King — Kiani King (SR 68, 9/2) has tightened 22% in the market, shares the joint-highest SR alongside Venetian Lion and Sagremor, and has the in-form Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate) booked — a combination that makes it the most credible threat to Venetian Lion.

Shortlist Venetian Lion, Sagremor, Kiani King, Hatamoto
Each-way: Sagremor Danger: Kiani King

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m0f13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade