Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Harley | 9/4 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Paper View | 9/4 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | — | 5/2 Coral |
| 3 Eleven Eighty Two | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Empire Rising | 6/1 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.50 | — | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Moriarty Moon | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Aura Of Melania | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Harley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Harley (SR 80, 9/4) heads the field on ability and is backed by the most compelling market signal in the race — a 28% inward move that represents serious confidence from connections. The combination of proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going suitability (GoingFit:+) on today's good ground at 6f is the strongest conditional alignment in this field. Daniel Tudhope (16% career strike rate, 797 rides) is a significant upgrade on most books here, and Edward Bethell's 15% yard strike rate is solid. Carrying 9-9 is the joint-highest weight but the SR advantage over nearest rival Paper View (SR 79) is marginal — it's the going and distance confirmation plus the steaming market that tips the balance. Each-way alternative: Paper View. Main danger: Paper View — Paper View (SR 79, 9/4) is race-fit off just 9 days, has proven distance fitness, and Richard Hannon's yard — despite the +4 mark rise — regularly produces quick-turnaround juvenile winners; the 2lb weight pull over Harley is a genuine edge if the extra racing sharpness tells.