Prestige Safety First Aid Training Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m4f14y
SR 132 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 117 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 121 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Alfred Wincham | 14/1 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | — | 16/1 Coral |
| 2 Sharp Move | 15/2 open 5.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | — | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Bankatary | 40/1 open 19.00 | — | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Pic N Mix | 150/1 open 101.00 | — | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Turret | 11/1 open 7.50 | — | 11/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 6.50 | — | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Crack of Thunder | 300/1 open 126.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 250/1 open 151.00 | — | 300/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Argenteus | 125/1 open 67.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | — | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Centrum | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Eshowe | 150/1 open 126.00 | — | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Humphrey | 8/11 open 2.50 | — | 10/11 open 2.50 | 10/11 open 2.50 | 4/5 open 2.50 | — | 10/11 Coral |
| 11 Kokbastau | 9/2 open 4.50 | — | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | — | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 12 Sandpyper | 150/1 open 126.00 | — | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Hello Friend | 11/1 open 7.00 | — | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | — | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Marianita | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Humphrey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 150 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 131 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Humphrey (SR:159, 8/11) is in a class of his own in this field — the only runner touching the 'top-class' threshold on the SR scale, fully 9 points clear of the next-best Kokbastau (SR:150). The Gosden yard (25% career strike rate, 716 runners) has two runners here and the market has emphatically elected Humphrey as their #1, shortening 26% since opening while stablemate Centrum drifts 25%. Robert Havlin retains the ride, a stable-loyalty signal that reinforces yard intent. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) means Humphrey faces a softer test than at last time out when finishing second — a run that produced an SR of 159 at a higher grade — making this a clear step down in difficulty. Each-way alternative: Kokbastau. Main danger: Kokbastau — Kokbastau (SR:150, 9/2) is the only other runner with a genuinely competitive Saturday Rating, carries just 9-4 alongside Humphrey, and Roger Varian's yard (19% strike rate) has form with progressive 3-year-olds over staying trips — a lightly-raced horse with a recent run just 19 days ago suggests peak fitness heading into this.