Bath 19:18 RESULTED
Class 5 31 Jul 2026

Last Friday Compare Betting Sites At gambling.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Compare Betting Sites At gambling.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m5f160y

Official Result

Compare Betting Sites At gambling.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Honky Tonk Girl (GB) Mason Paetel · Oliver Cole
    5/6F
  2. 3/1
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
It's A Mugs Game silks
It's A Mugs Game
Age 3 · 9-7
0-
126
3
9-7
25/1 33/1 20/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kodicall silks
Kodicall
Age 3 · 9-7
5
151
3
9-7
3/1 5/2 11/4
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Elmfield silks
Elmfield
Age 3 · 9-6
57
145
3
9-6
11/2 7/2 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Honky Tonk Girl silks
Honky Tonk Girl
Age 3 · 9-4
5943
57
68
57OR
3
9-4
6/5 6/5 10/11
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Nzuri silks
Nzuri
Age 3 · 9-4
820744
57
62
57OR
3
9-4
5/1 7/2 9/2
SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Kaiko silks
Kaiko
Age 3 · 9-2
59
126
3
9-2
50/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 It's A Mugs Game 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
2 Kodicall 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 3/1 3/1 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Elmfield 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
4 Honky Tonk Girl 6/5 open 2.50 evn open 2.20 evn open 2.20 10/11 open 2.25 evn open 2.20 6/5 Bet365
5 Nzuri 5/1 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Kaiko 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Elmfield

Live signal

Elmfield owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (81) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 George Scott Darragh Keenan
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kodicall

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · J S Moore
✓ Value Signal

Kaiko

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Adrian Wintle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
81 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +30.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Elmfield
69.5 11/2
2 2. Kodicall
68.0 3/1
3 4. Honky Tonk Girl
55.1 6/5
4 6. Kaiko
53.1 50/1
5 1. It's A Mugs Game
51.0 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kodicall
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-4
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 145 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kodicall
Confidence: Medium

Kodicall leads the field on SR at 151 — a clear 6-point edge over Elmfield (SR 145) and 23+ points clear of the rest — and steps down a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is the most encouraging form context in this field. Odds of 3/1 reflect genuine market confidence without being a bubble price, and the 17-day turnaround suggests the yard is happy with the horse. Trainer J S Moore's 5% strike rate is modest, but jockey Taylor Fisher (10%) adds competent pilotage, and the class drop on firm ground at 5f160y is the simplest winning formula available here. The favourite Honky Tonk Girl (SR 68) is a profound rating mismatch — 83 points below Kodicall — and her market support is difficult to reconcile with ability data, pointing instead to connections' confidence rather than form-based evidence that should trouble a top-rated rival. Each-way alternative: Elmfield. Main danger: Elmfield — Elmfield (SR 145, 11/2) is only 6 SR points behind Kodicall, trained by in-form George Scott (19% strike rate, by far the best in the field), and despite drifting 39% in the market that price drift may reflect confidence issues rather than a form concern — if Scott has this horse ready, the trainer edge alone could be decisive.

Shortlist Kodicall, Elmfield, It's A Mugs Game
Each-way: Elmfield Danger: Elmfield

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m5f160y Distance to cover
Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Bath Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade