Galway 19:40 RESULTED
31 Jul 2026

Last Friday Arthur Guinness Handicap

Arthur Guinness Handicap · 1m0f98y

Official Result

Arthur Guinness Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jp's Express (IRE) Wesley Joyce · Michael Mulvany
    100/30F
  2. 28/1
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 21 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Casamorati silks
Casamorati
Age 3 · 10-0
6898
70
44
70OR
3
10-0
33/1
Winless in his last four starts, Casamorati has experience over today's trip and conditions, yet his recent run of eighth, ninth and eighth tells against him; at 140 lb from stall 3, he'll need a career-best to get involved from fifth in our ratings.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Only One Scobie silks
Only One Scobie
Age 3 · 10-0
600130
70
63
70OR
3
10-0
14/1 11/1 12/1
Returned unplaced last time but was third two starts back and a winner three starts back, giving his recent form a mixed look; he has run over today's distance and going before, though 140 lb from stall 16 are factors to weigh against him.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Sweet Baby Zou silks
Sweet Baby Zou
Age 3 · 10-0
007810
70
68
70OR
3
10-0
8/1 11/2 8/1
A winner two starts back but unplaced last time out, and 56 days off adds a fitness query; she has experience of today's trip and going, though her speed rating of 63 leaves her with plenty to find against the top-rated runners from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Femme Beauty silks
Femme Beauty
Age 3 · 9-13
741431
69
72
69OR
3
9-13
11/1 10/1 11/1
Femme Beauty won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but a 39-day absence and a stiff 139 lb from stall 19 are real tests of whether she can back that up at this level.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Good Man Jack silks
Good Man Jack
Age 3 · 9-13
097
69
50
69OR
3
9-13
20/1 FCST 18/1
Winless in his last three starts, with a seventh and ninth among recent efforts, Good Man Jack arrives here ranked last on our figures and carrying 139 lb from stall 18 — he has run over today's trip and going before, but there is precious little in the form to inspire confidence.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Hassaniya silks
Hassaniya
Age 3 · 9-13
8-4533
69
65
69OR
3
9-13
10/1 9/1 10/1
Hassaniya has been knocking on the door with back-to-back thirds in recent starts, and he has experience over today's distance and going. Carrying 139 lb from stall 20, our rating of 85 marks him as the one to beat, though he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
In The Gloaming silks
In The Gloaming
Age 3 · 9-13
0-556
69
50
69OR
3
9-13
20/1
Winless in his last four starts, In The Gloaming has at least shown consistency with consecutive fifth-place finishes, and has run over today's going before; the 139 lb burden from stall 15 makes life harder for a gelding yet to find the winner's enclosure.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

8
Down The Glen silks
Down The Glen
Age 3 · 9-12
21-640
68
64
68OR
3
9-12
12/1 10/1 12/1
Down The Glen showed smart form when winning earlier in the sequence and has experience of today's distance and going, while our rating of 77 ranks him second of 21 runners — a strong threat. The main risk is a 57-day absence combined with an unplaced effort last time out.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Mr Perth silks
Mr Perth
Age 3 · 9-10
870
66
54
66OR
3
9-10
14/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 17th of 21 on our figures, Mr Perth faces a stiff task here; 77 days off the track raises freshness doubts, though he has run over today's trip and going before and stall six is a neutral draw.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Tharaka silks
Tharaka
Age 3 · 9-10
03404-
66
71
66OR
3
9-10
5/1 13/2 9/2
Twice a fourth and placed third in recent starts, Tharaka has run over today's trip and going and her rating of 76 marks her as a serious player from stall 12 — the concern is 305 days off the track leaves her fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Belle Nuit silks
Belle Nuit
Age 3 · 9-9
540-0
65
41
65OR
3
9-9
33/1 25/1 28/1
Winless in her last four starts, Belle Nuit does bring going experience to the table and 23 days between runs leaves her reasonably fresh; however, consecutive unplaced efforts head into this, and carrying 135 lb from stall 2 makes the task no easier.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

12
Aquilla Star silks
Aquilla Star
Age 3 · 9-8
072-72
64
61
64OR
3
9-8
10/1 13/2 10/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 15th of 21 on our figures, Aquilla Star faces a stiff ask, with her trainer yet to land a winner in 22 attempts over the past fortnight; experience over today's going is the one gentle positive.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Cosmic Funk silks
Cosmic Funk
Age 3 · 9-8
547275
64
43
64OR
3
9-8
33/1 22/1 33/1
Cosmic Funk ran a solid second three starts back and returns here on a retrieval mission just 16 days later, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour — the main concern is that he's been winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
John La Bear silks
John La Bear
Age 3 · 9-8
0441-7
64
53
64OR
3
9-8
22/1
Won two starts back but has been below that level since, and with a speed rating of 54 he faces a stiff ask against 20 rivals; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, though 134 lb from stall 8 is no easy proposition.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

15
Jp's Express silks
Jp's Express
Age 3 · 9-8
6-6003
64
71
64OR
3
9-8
7/2 9/2 7/2
Winless in his last five starts, with two unplaced efforts among them, Jp's Express is hard to fancy on these figures — ranked 18 of 21 in the field. A return to form third last time out offers slim encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Snaafy silks
Snaafy
Age 3 · 9-8
13-352
64
64
64OR
3
9-8
11/1
Snaafy hasn't won in his last four starts, and ranked 20 of 21 on our figures he faces a stiff task here; second last time out offers a crumb of comfort, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but the weight of 134 lb doesn't help his cause.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Aurora Mist silks
Aurora Mist
Age 3 · 9-7
54-710
63
47
63OR
3
9-7
25/1
Aurora Mist won two starts back but has been unplaced on her most recent outing, and ranked 16th of 21 on our figures she faces a stiff ask here; the experience over today's trip and going, plus a 16-day turnaround, at least count in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Love Orchid silks
Love Orchid
Age 3 · 9-7
4-5964
63
56
63OR
3
9-7
12/1 8/1 12/1
Winless in her last five starts, Love Orchid nevertheless drops a shade in class on our rating and has run over today's trip and going before; the 133 lb burden from stall 13 is the chief concern for a filly who has yet to threaten the frame in recent outings.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Priorstown silks
Priorstown
Age 3 · 9-5
607
TBA
61
58
61OR
3
9-5
11/1
Winless in his last three starts and returning after 84 days off, Priorstown has experience of today's distance and going but his trainer is struggling badly at 1/24 over the past fortnight, which tempers any claims despite our rating of 72 suggesting he holds a little more ability than his official mark implies.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Ella's Gold silks
Ella's Gold
Age 3 · 9-5
22-023
61
71
61OR
3
9-5
7/1 FCST 13/2
Ella's Gold has shown consistent placing ability, finishing second three times and third once in her last five starts, though she remains yet to win in recent form. She has run over today's trip and going before, and 31 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

21
Dont Get Me Wrong silks
Dont Get Me Wrong
Age 3 · 9-5
518-97
61
46
61OR
3
9-5
33/1
Ranked 19 of 21 on our figures, Dont Get Me Wrong has been out of the frame in his last three starts — seventh, ninth, and eighth — and it's hard to look past that slump despite him having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Casamorati 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 33/1 40/1 Coral
2 Only One Scobie 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Sweet Baby Zou 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 Coral
4 Femme Beauty 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Coral
5 Good Man Jack 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 20/1 Bet365
6 Hassaniya 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Coral
7 In The Gloaming 20/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 23.00 22/1 Coral
8 Down The Glen 12/1 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Coral
9 Mr Perth 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
10 Tharaka 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Coral
11 Belle Nuit 33/1 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Aquilla Star 10/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Coral
13 Cosmic Funk 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Coral
14 John La Bear 22/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 Coral
15 Jp's Express 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Coral
16 Snaafy 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 12/1 Coral
17 Aurora Mist 25/1 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 25/1 28/1 Coral
18 Love Orchid 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 Coral
19 Priorstown 11/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 Coral
20 Ella's Gold 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 9.00 13/2 15/2 William Hill
21 Dont Get Me Wrong 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jp's Express

Speculative

Jp's Express owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Michael Mulvany Wesley Joyce(3)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tharaka

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Emmet Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Casamorati

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 15. Jp's Express
54.0 7/2
2 10. Tharaka
52.7 5/1
3 3. Sweet Baby Zou
49.3 8/1
4 20. Ella's Gold
48.2 7/1
5 6. Hassaniya
46.0 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jp's Express
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

15
Age 3 · 9-8
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-10
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 3 · 9-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 10-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 3 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 3 · 9-5
11/1
J: TBA
T: J P Murtagh
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 3 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Age 3 · 9-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jp's Express
Confidence: Medium

Jp's Express (SR:71, 7/2) is the joint-top SR in the field alongside Tharaka and Ella's Gold, but crucially carries just 9-8 — a meaningful weight advantage over heavier-burdened rivals. The market has shortened 16% since opening, suggesting informed money is behind this runner, and trainer Michael Mulvany hits at 13% with 94 career runners — a solid yard for handicap placing. The cheekpieces (HG:p) are a positive headgear intervention on a horse whose form reads 6-6003 — the last run 'third' shows the form is alive and the headgear could sharpen the response. Against a 21-runner field where most rivals have negative or unknown going/distance data, Jp's Express stands out as the horse with the strongest convergence of SR, market support, weight, and connections quality. Each-way alternative: Tharaka. Main danger: Ella's Gold — Ella's Gold (SR:71, 7/1) matches Jp's Express on SR and carries only 9-5 — the lightest weight among the top-rated trio — and despite a GoingFit:- flag, a recent form line of 22-023 shows consistent placing effort that could translate on a fresh surface at Galway.

Shortlist Jp's Express, Tharaka, Ella's Gold, Snaafy, Femme Beauty
Each-way: Tharaka Danger: Ella's Gold

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m0f98y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
21 Confirmed runners
Galway Track and setting