Race & Rest - Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap Stakes · 1m4f51y
SR 48 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Favourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
SR 39 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Joseph | 22/1 open 13.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 2 Jodhpur Blue | 18/1 open 13.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Coral |
| 3 Roc De Fer | 4/7 open 1.83 | — | 1/2 open 1.67 | 1/2 open 1.67 | 4/9 open 1.62 | 4/9 open 1.62 | 4/7 Bet365 |
| 4 Louie's Folly | 80/1 open 41.00 | — | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Coral |
| 5 Dartmouth Jet | 22/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 William Hill |
| 6 Much | 11/4 | — | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Fans Favourite | 10/1 open 8.00 | — | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Roc De Fer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Roc De Fer (SR 81, 4/7) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field by a margin of 6 points over the next best (Much at SR 75), and the market has continued to shorten — in 11% — confirming confidence from those closest to the horse. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott (19% strike rate, 273 runners), one of the sharpest operators in the game for placing horses, and last-run form of '31' shows a bounce-back win following a dip, which is exactly the pattern Prescott specialises in. Carrying only 9-9 — the lightest weight of any realistic contender — gives a further edge over Joseph (10-1) and Jodhpur Blue (10-1) who carry significantly more. The MarkMv:= confirms he is running off the same mark as his last win, so the handicapper has not punished him upwards yet. Each-way alternative: Much. Main danger: Much — Much (SR 75, 11/4) drops two class levels, is trained by the in-form James Fanshawe (17% strike rate), carries a light 9-4, and while the market has not moved against him, the class relief and youth of a 3-year-old on the all-weather makes him the most credible threat to the favourite's dominance.