Musselburgh 20:55 RESULTED
Class 6 31 Jul 2026

Last Friday Graham + Sibbald And Neilsons Handicap Stakes

Graham + Sibbald And Neilsons Handicap Stakes · 0m5f1y

Official Result

Graham + Sibbald And Neilsons Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Thornaby Pearl (GB) Jake Dickson · Adrian Nicholls
    11/2
  2. 11/2
  3. 9/4J
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Thornaby Pearl silks
Thornaby Pearl
Age 8 · 9-13
341421
64
77
64OR
8
9-13
11/4 2/1 11/4
Thornaby Pearl arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second before that, bringing smart recent momentum into this; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and the main risk is whether 139 lb blunts his finishing effort.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Thunderstorm Katie silks
Thunderstorm Katie
Age 5 · 9-10
972226
61
66
61OR
5
9-10
6/1 FCST 11/2
Winless in her last six starts despite three runner-up finishes, Thunderstorm Katie has struggled to convert and ranks fifth of six on our figures; she has run over today's distance and going before, and 20 days since her last outing leaves her reasonably fresh, but she remains hard to fancy at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Peregrine Falcon silks
Peregrine Falcon
Age 4 · 9-10
6-2353
61
57
61OR
4
9-10
11/1 5/1 11/1
Peregrine Falcon has shown consistent placing ability, finishing third last time out and third and second in recent starts, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions — though winless in her last five, the chief concern is whether she can finally convert that placed form into something more.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Golden Havana silks
Golden Havana
Age 3 · 9-9
433222
64
77
64OR
3
9-9
7/2 5/2 3/1
Golden Havana has been a model of consistency, placing second three times in his last six starts, and he has experience of today's distance and going — drawn in stall three carrying 135 lb, he is the one to side with, albeit still seeking that elusive first win.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
South Parade silks
South Parade
Age 5 · 9-8
007496
59
63
59OR
5
9-8
3/1 9/4 11/4
South Parade shaped with a shade of promise when fourth three starts back, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 66 suggests she's capable of threatening here — yet winless in her last six starts and a trainer firing at just 3% lately are real negatives.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Wee Mary silks
Wee Mary
Age 4 · 9-3
624744
54
59
54OR
4
9-3
11/2 FCST 5/1
Winless in her last six starts with a string of fourth-place finishes, Wee Mary heads here just four days after her latest effort and ranks last on our figures; she has run over today's trip and going before, and stall one is hers to use.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Thornaby Pearl 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
2 Thunderstorm Katie 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365
3 Peregrine Falcon 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Ladbrokes
4 Golden Havana 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 3/1 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
5 South Parade 3/1 open 11.00 3/1 3/1 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 3/1 Bet365
6 Wee Mary 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 5/1 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thornaby Pearl

Speculative

Thornaby Pearl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Adrian Nicholls Jake Dickson(5)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Golden Havana

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Michael Dods
✓ Value Signal

Peregrine Falcon

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Patrick Morris
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Thornaby Pearl
54.5 11/4
2 4. Golden Havana
50.9 7/2
3 2. Thunderstorm Katie
49.5 6/1
4 6. Wee Mary
48.5 11/2
5 5. South Parade
48.0 3/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Thornaby Pearl
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 9-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-8
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-3
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Thornaby Pearl
Confidence: Medium

Thornaby Pearl (SR 77, 11/4) shares the top SR in the field alongside Golden Havana but carries only 9-13 — manageable at this class level — and crucially shows GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, confirming she handles conditions. Her form string 341421 shows consistent involvement at the business end of races at this exact class (ClassMv:=), and trainer Adrian Nicholls at 10% strike rate with jockey Jake Dickson (14%, 136) is a competent combination. The MarkMv:+2 is a minor concern but not prohibitive given her SR superiority over most rivals. Each-way alternative: Golden Havana. Main danger: Golden Havana — Golden Havana (SR 77, 7/2) matches Thornaby Pearl's SR, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a lighter 9-9, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — only the 8% drift and a visor first-time giving pause — and Connor Beasley at 15% career strike rate is the sharpest jockey booking in the race.

Shortlist Thornaby Pearl, Golden Havana, Wee Mary
Each-way: Golden Havana Danger: Golden Havana

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade