Guinness Handicap · 1m4f0y
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 90 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Shaool | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 This Songisforyou | 17/2 open 11.00 | — | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Dawn Rising | 40/1 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Chica Guerrera | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 5 Port Of Spain | 12/1 open 9.50 | — | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 The Real Screamer | 12/1 open 17.00 | — | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Fixation | 13/2 | — | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Touch The Moon | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Kingstonian | 10/1 open 13.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Mo Ghille Mar | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Tribal Star | 20/1 open 15.00 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 12 Mr Vettori | 11/1 open 9.00 | — | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Thread Of Gold | 7/2 | — | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 14 Immutable | 15/2 open 11.00 | — | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 15 Navy Waters | 14/1 open 21.00 | — | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Night Moon | 10/1 open 8.50 | — | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 Ladbrokes |
| 17 Satono Chevalier | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Narlita | 50/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thread Of Gold owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (60) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Thread Of Gold (SR:108, 7/2) is the standout on ability in this field — an SR of 108 is meaningfully clear of the next-best cluster around 91-95, and carrying just 9-0 makes that advantage even more potent in an 18-runner handicap. The W P Mullins yard runs at 20% strike rate from 1,229 runners, making them the dominant training force in the race, and W J Lee's 14% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field. GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground, and the 3-1 recent form (third then a win) suggests peak condition heading into this festival target. The 9% drift from opening price is the one concern, but a slight market softening at a busy festival meeting is not unusual and the underlying signals — SR, trainer, jockey, going — are too strong to walk away from. Each-way alternative: Fixation. Main danger: The Real Screamer — The Real Screamer (SR:92, 12/1) has steamed in 28% in the market, carries a favourable 9-5, posts GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, and arrives on a 1-1-3 recent sequence that shows a horse in career-best form — the market move is a genuine signal.