Hawes & Curtis Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Persian Spring | 17/2 open 11.00 | — | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 William Hill |
| 2 Sky Secret | 14/1 open 17.00 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Revels | 10/1 open 12.00 | — | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 4 The Dancing Pirate | 4/1 open 9.00 | — | 7/2 open 8.50 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 8.50 | 10/3 open 8.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sovereign Glory | 22/1 open 29.00 | — | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Jaijai | 16/1 open 12.00 | — | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Clash Of Hearts | 7/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Dubai Champion | 7/2 open 4.33 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 Coral |
| 9 Innichen | 11/2 | — | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Super Tuscan | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 11 Paper View | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Wild Terrain | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 13 May Bee In Profit | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 14 Arabica Queen | 25/1 open 17.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Coral |
| 15 Social Spirit | 33/1 open 41.00 | — | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Perigord Noir | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Moonlight Tango | 33/1 open 19.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Global Success | 33/1 open 19.00 | — | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
The Dancing Pirate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 66 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dubai Champion (SR:85, 7/2) carries just 9-4 — a 5lb weight advantage over top-rated The Dancing Pirate (SR:86, 9-5) — and Ryan Moore's 27% career strike rate is the outstanding jockey booking in the field. His form of 431 shows consistent progression, and DistFit:+ confirms he handles the 6f trip. Crucially, the market shows no drift despite a class rise of two tiers, suggesting connections and punters are comfortable with the step up. Innichen (SR:87) is the only horse with a higher SR but faces a three-tier class rise carrying MarkMv:+8, making Dubai Champion the more manageable proposition at a better weight. Each-way alternative: Persian Spring. Main danger: The Dancing Pirate — The Dancing Pirate (SR:86, 4/1) has been massively backed — Mkt:in48% — with Oisin Murphy booked, and Balding's 19% strike rate is elite, making the DistFit:- concern the only thing keeping it off the top spot.