Newcastle (AW) 15:55 RESULTED
Class 5 31 Jul 2026

Last Friday Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Houndhill (GB) Alex Jary · Nigel Tinkler
    8/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 21 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Sunlit Sea silks
Sunlit Sea Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
7-8411
64
64OR
3
9-4
SP
Sunlit Sea arrives in cracking nick — back-to-back wins and a trainer firing at 41% — but she carries 130 lb from stall one and her speed rating gives the top-ranked rivals an edge, leaving this a case of solid claims against stiffer opposition.
1
Go Lockers Go silks
Go Lockers Go
Age 3 · 9-9
-11225
69
73
69OR
3
9-9
11/2 9/2 5/1
Go Lockers Go arrives here in decent nick — a winner twice in his last five starts, and second two outings back and three outings back, he has solid recent form to bring to bear and has run over today's trip before; the main risk is that fifth last time out suggests he may need to bounce back.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Believeinmenow silks
Believeinmenow
Age 3 · 9-8
422739
68
70
68OR
3
9-8
9/1 16/1 15/2
Believeinmenow shaped with real promise when third two starts back and runner-up on two occasions in recent starts, and his experience over today's trip gives him a solid foothold; the main risk is that ninth last time out raises a question mark over current form.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Houndhill silks
Houndhill
Age 3 · 9-8
681008
68
67
68OR
3
9-8
7/1 7/1 6/1
Houndhill won four starts back and returns on a quick 15-day turnaround, suggesting he is fit and ready, with distance experience adding reassurance; the risk is that he was eighth last time and unplaced before that, so he needs to recapture that winning form sharply.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Brave Traveller silks
Brave Traveller
Age 3 · 9-7
-59273
67
68
67OR
3
9-7
6/1 6/1 5/1
Brave Traveller showed real grit when third last time out and a solid second three starts back, and with experience over today's trip and going, he looks the one to beat from stall two off 133 lb — winless in his last five, but the form profile reads well.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nana's Boy George silks
Nana's Boy George
Age 3 · 9-6
66-421
66
69
66OR
3
9-6
4/1 32/17 4/1
Nana's Boy George won last time out but is 84 days removed from that effort, ranks tenth of thirteen on our figures, and an official mark of 66 tells its own story. Experience over today's trip is a modest positive, yet little else here invites confidence.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Perineighs silks
Perineighs
Age 3 · 9-5
9443-0
65
41
65OR
3
9-5
40/1
Winless in her last five starts and returning after 56 days off, Perineighs does at least have experience over today's trip and a modest ratings edge to cling to, though an unplaced effort latest and draw 11 leave her with plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Vinciamo silks
Vinciamo
Age 3 · 9-4
362927
64
47
64OR
3
9-4
22/1 18/1 22/1
Vinciamo arrives on the back of a second two starts back yet has been winless in his last six, and a struggling trainer (0 from 21 in the past fortnight) does little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip before, though carrying 130 lb from stall 13 adds further pressure.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Dontwaste A Moment silks
Dontwaste A Moment
Age 3 · 9-4
35-017
64
56
64OR
3
9-4
16/1
Dontwaste A Moment returns after 47 days off having won two starts back, though a seventh last time out tempers expectations; he has run over today's trip and carries 130 lb from stall eight, with our rating of 68 hinting at modest improvement possible.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Taaklam silks
Taaklam
Age 3 · 9-4
53-325
64
70
64OR
3
9-4
7/2 3/1 7/2
Taaklam has shown consistency without a win in recent starts, placed in three of his last four, and has run over today's trip and going; 71 days off and 130 lb from stall 9 are the questions, though a rating of 69 suggests he retains ability.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Mayflyer silks
Mayflyer
Age 3 · 9-2
543
62
51
62OR
3
9-2
12/1 13/2 12/1
Winless in her last three starts — with a fifth three starts back and a fourth two starts back before finishing third last time out — Mayflyer returns after 156 days off, and our figures rank her last of thirteen here, making her very hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Bella Delizia silks
Bella Delizia
Age 3 · 9-0
41-068
60
42
60OR
3
9-0
50/1
Bella Delizia has tumbled down the form-book in her last three starts, finishing unplaced and then sixth and eighth, and ranked 11th of 13 on our figures she faces a stiff ask; she has run over today's trip and going, and a win four starts back offers a flicker of hope.
AI verdict

SR 42 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Pivotal Terms silks
Pivotal Terms
Age 3 · 8-10
614625
56
59
56OR
3
8-10
11/1 12/1 10/1
Ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Pivotal Terms makes it hard to build a case — fifth last time out, and her sole recent win came five starts back, with little encouraging in between. She has run over today's trip and returns after 36 days off, but the weight of evidence is against her.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Sunlit Sea
1 Go Lockers Go 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Believeinmenow 9/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 8/1 open 17.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Houndhill 7/1 open 34.00 15/2 15/2 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.50 15/2 Coral
4 Brave Traveller 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Nana's Boy George 4/1 open 2.88 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 open 3.25 9/2 Coral
6 Perineighs 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
7 Vinciamo 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Coral
8 Dontwaste A Moment 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
9 Taaklam 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
11 Mayflyer 12/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Coral
12 Bella Delizia 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
13 Pivotal Terms 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nana's Boy George

Speculative

Nana's Boy George owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Alexandra Dunn Barry McHugh
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Go Lockers Go

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Michael Bell
✓ Value Signal

Perineighs

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Seb Spencer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Nana's Boy George
51.0 4/1
2 1. Go Lockers Go
50.8 11/2
3 9. Taaklam
50.6 7/2
4 4. Brave Traveller
48.7 6/1
5 3. Houndhill
46.3 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Believeinmenow
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Believeinmenow
Confidence: Speculative

Believeinmenow (SR:70, 9/1) is the Nigel Tinkler yard's most interesting runner given a massive 45% market move inward — from 9/1 opening to the current price — which is the single most emphatic market signal in the field. Within the Tinkler stable, Houndhill has course form (W1P3) but carries a +4 mark move and a DistFit:- flag, while Bella Delizia is a 50/1 shot with SR:42; Believeinmenow at SR:70 is the yard's highest-rated runner and the booking of Faye McManoman is a yard regular, suggesting this is not a token runner. The SR:70 matches Taaklam (7/2) and Nana's Boy George (4/1) at the top of the ability range, but those two have drifted significantly (out 11% and out 70% respectively), making the steaming Believeinmenow the standout value proposition despite the DistFit:- concern. In a compressed SR field where the top six runners are separated by only 6 points, market confidence is the decisive differentiator. Each-way alternative: Houndhill. Main danger: Taaklam — Taaklam (SR:70, 7/2) is the joint top-rated runner, has place form at this course (W0P2), is trained by the in-form Harriet Bethell (16% strike rate) and ridden by PJ McDonald (15%), and while the 11% drift is a mild negative, the class step up and two-month freshener could suit a lightly-raced improver.

Shortlist Believeinmenow, Houndhill, Taaklam, Go Lockers Go
Each-way: Houndhill Danger: Taaklam

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade