Aalberts Ips Pegler Valves Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f2y
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Brash | 9/4 open 2.88 | — | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.75 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 Kohana Nation | 4/5 open 1.91 | — | 8/11 open 1.80 | 8/11 open 1.80 | 8/13 open 1.80 | 4/6 open 1.80 | 4/5 Bet365 |
| 3 Stoneacre Joe | 8/1 open 7.50 | — | 8/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 4 Triple P | 17/2 open 8.50 | — | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Spruces Due | 100/1 | — | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sakura Impact | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kohana Nation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Kohana Nation's SR of 155 dwarfs every other runner in this field — the next-best contender Triple P sits at SR:143, and the market 'favourite' Brash is only SR:72. Carrying 9-7 on good-to-firm ground at 6f2y, the weight is entirely manageable. The 4/5 market price has tightened a further 6% since opening, confirming stable confidence despite the 225-day absence; Charles Hills (10% strike rate, 437 runners) is a yard that prepares horses properly for their return, and Oisin Orr at 13% career strike rate is a significant booking. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is offset completely by the SR advantage — at 155 this horse is simply in a different league to this Class 4 novice field. Each-way alternative: Triple P. Main danger: Triple P — Triple P carries SR:143 — the only other horse in the field with genuine ability — and as Tim Easterby's clear yard number-one ahead of Stoneacre Joe, a single outing (Form:4) leaves plenty of scope for improvement at this trip.