Theakston Great Yorkshire Pint Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f218y
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Le Samourai | 5/2 open 3.00 | — | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Morty Robinson | 150/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Ben Travato | 150/1 open 67.00 | — | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Coral |
| 4 Test Run | 14/1 open 10.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 West Sleekburn Lad | 200/1 open 101.00 | — | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Brighton Beach | 11/8 open 3.00 | — | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 6/5 open 2.38 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 7 Regal Desire | 2/1 open 2.63 | — | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Regal Desire owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Brighton Beach (SR 157, 11/8) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and crucially carries only 8-13 — the joint-lightest weight alongside Regal Desire — giving it a 14lb advantage over Le Samourai on 9-11 despite superior ability. William Haggas (22% strike rate, 1,027 career runners) is one of the most powerful novice trainers in British racing, and Daniel Tudhope (16%, 805 runners) is a high-class booking that reinforces stable intent. The 10% market shortening signals genuine confidence from connections, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) means Brighton Beach faces easier opposition here than last time. The form line of 5-3 is unspectacular but reflects a horse that has been learning its trade; the class drop and top connections now present a clear opportunity. Each-way alternative: Regal Desire. Main danger: Regal Desire — Regal Desire is the SR leader at 159 and carries the same featherweight 8-13, and while the 6% drift is mild concern, the Brian Ellison yard will have identified this as its number-one runner given the jockey booking of Ben Robinson and its superior SR — two consecutive placed efforts (2-2) suggest a horse knocking on the door of a first win.