Lodge At The National Stud Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f0y
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Asheyra | 5/1 open 5.00 | — | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Give Me A Bow | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Coral |
| 3 Haleema | 11/10 open 2.25 | — | evn open 1.91 | evn open 1.91 | 11/10 open 1.83 | evn open 1.91 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 4 Jessica | 14/1 open 9.50 | — | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 5 Kiah | 16/1 open 15.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Phillipa | 125/1 open 101.00 | — | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 Coral |
| 7 Spirited Gesture | 15/8 open 3.00 | — | 2/1 | 2/1 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 | 2/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Haleema owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 137 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Haleema (SR:155, 11/10) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is trained by Charlie Appleby, whose 29% strike rate from 183 career runners is comfortably the best trainer stat on the card — a yard that runs its debutants to win. Billy Loughnane retains the ride and his 18% career strike rate over 1,670 runners shows consistent booking quality. Critically, Haleema shows no market drift despite being an odds-on favourite, suggesting the market has genuine confidence in the Appleby yard's assessment of this filly's readiness. The SR edge of 1lb over Spirited Gesture (SR:154) is slim, but the trainer+jockey combination outweighs Gosden's runner when both are unraced debutants. Each-way alternative: Spirited Gesture. Main danger: Spirited Gesture — Spirited Gesture (SR:154, 15/8) is trained by the John & Thady Gosden yard — a 25% strike rate from 735 runners — and sits just 1lb behind Haleema on SR, making this a genuinely tight top-two race where the Gosden yard's debutant record at Newmarket could prove decisive.