Galway 18:05 RESULTED
1 Aug 2026

Last Saturday McDonogh Capital Investments Handicap

McDonogh Capital Investments Handicap · 1m3f180y

Official Result

McDonogh Capital Investments Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sir Jeremy (IRE) Paddy Harnett · Noel Meade
    11/1
  2. 13/2
  3. Third Thyer (GB)
    14/1
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Settled
  • 21 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ivatt silks
Ivatt
Age 4 · 10-1
52648-
81
72
81OR
4
10-1
11/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after a 295-day absence, Ivatt faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and our rating nudges just above his official mark — a fourth two starts back hints at residual ability.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Brosna Town silks
Brosna Town
Age 5 · 10-0
4036-0
80
65
80OR
5
10-0
18/1 25/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts, though a third three starts back offers some hope; Brosna Town has distance and going experience to call on, but an unplaced effort just four days ago and 140 lb to carry make this a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Superficial silks
Superficial
Age 4 · 10-0
53-261
80
75
80OR
4
10-0
8/1 15/2 8/1
Superficial won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a clear threat here; the concern is that 56 days off the track leaves his fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Diamond Exchange silks
Diamond Exchange
Age 4 · 9-13
131875
79
76
79OR
4
9-13
17/2 7/1 17/2
Diamond Exchange has run over today's trip and going, and her rating of 85 ranks her second among 21 rivals — a serious threat; the concern is that she has finished fifth, seventh and eighth in her last three starts.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ephesus silks
Ephesus
Age 5 · 9-13
5100-9
79
51
79OR
5
9-13
40/1
Ninth last time out after consecutive unplaced efforts, Ephesus did land a win four starts back, but a quick three-day turnaround and 139 lb to carry are real tests of whether he can recapture that form, even with experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Royal Saxo silks
Royal Saxo
Age 6 · 9-13
12-995
79
68
79OR
6
9-13
11/1 17/2 10/1
Royal Saxo has finished ninth in each of his last two starts before a fifth most recently, and our rating ranks him 17th of 21 in this field. He has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp turnaround of 12 days, but he is hard to fancy on current form.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Fratas silks
Fratas
Age 6 · 9-12
0244-6
78
79
78OR
6
9-12
10/3
Winless in her last five starts, Fratas has shown consistency with a second and two fourths in recent outings, but a sixth last time out — just three days ago — raises freshness concerns; she has run over today's trip and going before, though, and a mark of 78 looks workable.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Thatwilldoso silks
Thatwilldoso
Age 5 · 9-12
2-9051
78
76
78OR
5
9-12
13/2 5/1 13/2
Thatwilldoso bounced back to winning form last time out, and she has experience of today's distance and going, yet four of her last five starts produced a fifth, an unplaced run, a ninth, and a second, underscoring her inconsistency at this level.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Unterberg silks
Unterberg
Age 7 · 9-9
111088
75
49
75OR
7
9-9
33/1 25/1 33/1
Unterberg has won three times in his last six starts, including a hat-trick four, five and six starts back, but three successive failures since — including two eighths — make him hard to trust at 135 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

10
Daonethatgotaway silks
Daonethatgotaway
Age 6 · 9-8
214207
74
53
74OR
6
9-8
28/1 22/1 28/1
Ranked 15th of 21 on our figures, Daonethatgotaway faces a stiff task after finishing seventh last time out and unplaced the run before; a second three starts back offers faint encouragement, but he has plenty to find here despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Deralo Ir silks
Deralo Ir
Age 4 · 9-8
2527-7
74
48
74OR
4
9-8
33/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Deralo Ir has posted back-to-back sevenths recently, though a second three starts back shows he can find the frame; experience over today's trip and going and a quick 12-day turnaround are modest positives.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Thyer silks
Thyer
Age 5 · 9-8
000-65
74
60
74OR
5
9-8
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, Thyer nonetheless catches the eye on our rating of 85 — 11 lb clear of his official mark — and arrives fit on 27 days' rest, having run over today's trip and going before; the concern is a recent sequence that offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Tribal Moon silks
Tribal Moon
Age 5 · 9-7
40332-
73
53
73OR
5
9-7
33/1 28/1 33/1
Tribal Moon has been consistently placed in recent starts — third two runs back and second last time out — but remains yet to win in his last five outings; he has run over today's going before and the 133 lb burden looks his chief obstacle to breaking that duck.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Granville Street silks
Granville Street
Age 8 · 9-6
6-2548
72
68
72OR
8
9-6
10/1 9/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts and back out just three days ago, Granville Street at least has experience over today's trip and going; however, an eighth last time out and ranked 12th of 21 in the field makes this a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Pillar Of Hope silks
Pillar Of Hope
Age 8 · 9-6
-88046
72
59
72OR
8
9-6
16/1 14/1 16/1
Pillar Of Hope shaped with more promise than his finishing positions suggest in recent starts, and returning on just 12 days' rest with experience of today's trip and conditions, he rates the one to beat off 132 lb — though he remains winless in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Sir Jeremy silks
Sir Jeremy
Age 4 · 9-6
0-7195
72
61
72OR
4
9-6
14/1 12/1 14/1
A winner three starts back offers a crumb of comfort, but Sir Jeremy has finished fifth and ninth in his two subsequent outings and ranks 18th of 21 on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite going experience and a fitness edge at 32 days fresh.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Concert Party silks
Concert Party
Age 4 · 9-5
110-95
71
48
71OR
4
9-5
33/1 28/1 33/1
Concert Party won four and five starts back but has found things tougher since, finishing unplaced and ninth in her last three; she has run over today's distance and going before, yet 131 lb is a stiff ask as she tries to rediscover earlier form.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Arch Enemy silks
Arch Enemy
Age 7 · 9-4
-66110
70
80
70OR
7
9-4
6/1 5/1 6/1
Arch Enemy won two of her last five starts but comes here just two days after her latest unplaced effort, and ranked 16th of 21 on our figures she faces a stiff ask; she has run over today's trip and going, which offers some grounding, but the quick turnaround is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

19
Steps In The Sand silks
Steps In The Sand
Age 7 · 9-3
28-900
TBA
69
53
69OR
7
9-3
20/1 14/1 20/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Steps In The Sand faces a stiff task; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a run just yesterday and a string of unplaced efforts make her difficult to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

20
Cala Bonita silks
Cala Bonita
Age 4 · 9-3
-48471
69
73
69OR
4
9-3
7/1 11/2 7/1
Cala Bonita won last time out but returns just two days later, which makes the quick turnaround the key question over this trip and going she has experienced before; the 129 lb burden is another test of whether that recent victory has come at a cost.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

21
Hexagonal silks
Hexagonal
Age 5 · 9-3
996010
69
66
69OR
5
9-3
12/1 10/1 12/1
Ran just yesterday and ranks 19th of 21 on our figures, making him very difficult to fancy; he did score two starts back, and has run over today's going before, but his overall recent form is patchy and the turnaround is brutally quick.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ivatt 11/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Coral
2 Brosna Town 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 Bet365
3 Superficial 8/1 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Coral
4 Diamond Exchange 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 William Hill
5 Ephesus 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
6 Royal Saxo 11/1 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
7 Fratas 10/3 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 Coral
8 Thatwilldoso 13/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 Coral
9 Unterberg 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
10 Daonethatgotaway 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Coral
11 Deralo Ir 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Thyer 16/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Coral
13 Tribal Moon 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
14 Granville Street 10/1 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Coral
15 Pillar Of Hope 16/1 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 Coral
16 Sir Jeremy 14/1 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Coral
17 Concert Party 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
18 Arch Enemy 6/1 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 Coral
19 Steps In The Sand 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Coral
20 Cala Bonita 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 William Hill
21 Hexagonal 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fratas

Speculative

Fratas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cala Bonita

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Matthew J Smith
✓ Value Signal

Concert Party

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Fratas
54.5 10/3
2 20. Cala Bonita
52.0 7/1
3 18. Arch Enemy
51.2 6/1
4 8. Thatwilldoso
50.8 13/2
5 1. Ivatt
50.2 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Fratas
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 6 · 9-12
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Age 7 · 9-4
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-12
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

20
Age 4 · 9-3
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 10-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 8 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 10-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 9-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

21
Age 5 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 4 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 5 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 8 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 10-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

19
Age 7 · 9-3
20/1
J: TBA
T: Ciaran Murphy
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fratas
Confidence: Medium

Fratas (SR:79, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field that isn't lumbered with obvious disqualifying flags — carrying a manageable 9-12 from a yard (Joseph Patrick O'Brien, 16% strike rate) that runs horses to win. The 10/3 price makes it the clear market leader and O'Brien's 16% career strike rate is the best of any trainer in this field. While the DistFit and GoingFit both read '?' (untested rather than confirmed poor), the form string 0244-6 shows consistent proximity to the front without winning, which in a wide-open 21-runner handicap at this level is acceptable progression. The chief concern is the 14% market drift, but in a 21-runner race with no dominant money horse this is partly field-noise rather than a strong negative signal. Each-way alternative: Arch Enemy. Main danger: Arch Enemy — Arch Enemy (SR:80, 6/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-4, and has won twice in his last four runs (form -66110) with confirmed GoingFit:+, making him a live threat if the MarkMv:+11 penalty doesn't stretch him beyond his current level.

Shortlist Fratas, Arch Enemy, Cala Bonita
Each-way: Arch Enemy Danger: Arch Enemy

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m3f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
21 Confirmed runners
Galway Track and setting