Strathmore Hotels Ltd Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race) · 1m3f15y
SR 151 backed by market confidence at 7/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Kissmehoneyhoney | 7/4 open 2.38 | — | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 15/8 Coral |
| 2 Tiernan | 10/3 open 3.50 | — | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 According To Mark | 11/8 open 3.25 | — | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 11/10 open 2.50 | evn open 2.25 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 4 Sottsfield | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 5 Midnight Serenade | 80/1 open 51.00 | — | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kissmehoneyhoney owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 151 backed by market confidence at 7/4 — a genuine contender.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
According To Mark (SR:97, 11/8) is the standout pick on multiple converging signals. The market has shortened 14% — the only steamer in the field — suggesting informed confidence, while Kissmehoneyhoney has drifted a significant 14% and Tiernan a damaging 24%. The 3yo carries a light 9-4 alongside Sottsfield, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Kissmehoneyhoney (10-1) and Tiernan (9-13). The form string of 4-222 shows consistent placed form, and the addition of a hood (HG:p) combined with a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) from trainer Bethell (14%, 514 runners) and PJ McDonald (15%, 514 runners) — both respectable strike-rate operators — points to a horse being readied for a win. Though the SR of 97 is modest, in a weak five-runner novice with a drifting favourite and a washout outsider, this level is competitive enough. Each-way alternative: Kissmehoneyhoney. Main danger: Kissmehoneyhoney — Kissmehoneyhoney holds the field's highest SR at 151 and drops two classes, meaning on raw ability alone it remains a genuine threat despite the 14% drift and Mulrennan's modest 10% strike rate.