Thirsk 15:17 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Aug 2026

Last Saturday Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap Stakes

Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Jordan Foy Memorial Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Accrual (GB) William Pyle · Ruth Carr
    12/1
  2. 5/1
  3. Third Tiva (IRE)
    8/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
True Promise silks
True Promise
Age 5 · 10-1
522015
81
69
81OR
5
10-1
16/1 10/1 16/1
True Promise steps up with solid claims — a winner two starts back and placed a further two starts before that in recent form, he has experience of today's trip and conditions and returns after a 22-day break in good order; the fifth last time out is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Moulin Booj silks
Moulin Booj
Age 6 · 10-1
066325
81
80
81OR
6
10-1
11/2
Moulin Booj shaped with promise when second two starts back and third three starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going. Winless in recent starts, but rated highest in the field and carrying 141 lb from stall 11, he returns after 29 days looking the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tiva silks
Tiva
Age 4 · 9-13
-52546
79
75
79OR
4
9-13
17/2 17/2 8/1
Winless in her last five starts, Tiva nonetheless posted a second four starts back and her experience over today's trip and going keeps her firmly in the mix at 139 lb from stall four — the main concern is recapturing that earlier spark.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
American Bay silks
American Bay
Age 5 · 9-10
325720
76
76
76OR
5
9-10
9/2 FCST 4/1
Winless in his last six, American Bay nonetheless shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, and has experience of today's trip and going — our rating of 84 marks him as a serious threat here. The main concern is that unplaced effort last time out.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Castan silks
Castan
Age 6 · 9-10
281409
76
61
76OR
6
9-10
22/1 28/1 22/1
Castan has won in his last six starts but sits ninth of 12 on our figures, and back-to-back poor efforts — unplaced and ninth latest — make him hard to fancy at this level; he does return on a handy 22-day break with distance and going experience in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Rock Of England silks
Rock Of England
Age 6 · 9-10
913121
76
83
76OR
6
9-10
6/1 7/2 6/1
Rock Of England arrives in good nick — a winner last time out and again three starts back — but he is ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, and a 136 lb burden makes him hard to fancy at the head of affairs.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Accrual silks
Accrual
Age 5 · 9-9
5U5305
75
57
75OR
5
9-9
18/1 10/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts, Accrual does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a third three starts back shows he can threaten the frame; the fifth-place effort last time was a solid enough midfield run, though a hefty 135 lb to carry from stall 2 is a clear concern.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Comic Strip silks
Comic Strip
Age 3 · 9-9
2-3755
78
61
78OR
3
9-9
18/1 11/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, Comic Strip nonetheless showed he retains some ability with a third and a second in recent outings, and has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 135 lb from stall one, he's a midfield sort whose consistency is patchy but not without hope.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Mondammej silks
Mondammej
Age 9 · 9-8
24-062
74
69
74OR
9
9-8
10/1 13/2 10/1
Placed last time out and again two starts back — wait, the sixth placing two runs ago is the concern — Mondammej is winless in recent starts yet bounced back to second last time, suggesting he retains ability; experience over today's trip and going and a quick 11-day turnaround keep him competitive from stall 5.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Rotokura Belle silks
Rotokura Belle
Age 3 · 9-6
164173
75
85
75OR
3
9-6
7/2 7/2 10/3
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Muker silks
Muker
Age 8 · 9-6
800640
72
59
72OR
8
9-6
18/1 FCST 16/1
Winless in his last six starts, with recent form figures making grim reading, Muker is hard to fancy from stall 12 carrying 132 lb — though he has run over today's distance and going before, and our rating of 78 offers slim cause for hope.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Canaria Queen silks
Canaria Queen
Age 6 · 9-2
221552
68
70
68OR
6
9-2
10/1 13/2 10/1
Canaria Queen has won once in her last six starts, with a pair of fifth-place finishes sandwiched between that success and a latest second, making consistency the concern; she has run over today's trip and going, and 8 days between runs suggests freshness, but ranked last on our figures she faces a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 True Promise 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Moulin Booj 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
3 Tiva 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 17/2 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Bet365
4 American Bay 9/2 open 17.00 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
5 Castan 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Rock Of England 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
7 Accrual 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Comic Strip 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Mondammej 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 William Hill
10 Rotokura Belle 7/2 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
11 Muker 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
12 Canaria Queen 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rotokura Belle

Speculative

Rotokura Belle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Ivan Furtado Silvestre De Sousa
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rock Of England

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Paul Midgley
✓ Value Signal

Muker

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Nigel Tinkler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Rotokura Belle
53.3 7/2
2 6. Rock Of England
52.2 6/1
3 4. American Bay
51.9 9/2
4 2. Moulin Booj
51.8 11/2
5 9. Mondammej
48.2 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rotokura Belle
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 3 · 9-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 10-1
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 9 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 9-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-1
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

11
Age 8 · 9-6
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rotokura Belle
Confidence: Medium

Rotokura Belle (SR:85, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in this field and carries a very manageable 9-6, the joint-lowest weight among the leading contenders. The form string 164173 shows consistent competitiveness with a recent win, and a same-class assignment means no step up in grade is required. Silvestre De Sousa's booking (13% strike rate, 825 career rides) signals serious intent from the Furtado yard. While the market is neither steaming nor drifting and MarkMv:+6 means she runs off a 6lb higher mark than her last win, the SR edge over every rival — 2lb clear of Rock Of England at 9-10, and 5lb+ over the rest — combined with the lightest weight in the top tier makes her the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: American Bay. Main danger: Rock Of England — Rock Of England (SR:83, Form:913121) has won twice in his last four runs and is the Midgley yard's #1 runner based on the superior SR and a tighter price than stablemate American Bay, though the Mkt:out37% drift is a significant concern that needs explaining — it may be a soft target for American Bay as the yard's preferred runner.

Shortlist Rotokura Belle, Rock Of England, American Bay, Moulin Booj
Each-way: American Bay Danger: Rock Of England

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade