San Aer
SpeculativeSan Aer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Ardilaun Hotel Handicap · 0m7f0y
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 47 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 42 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 41 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apache Outlaw | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 10/3 | 10/3 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 10/3 | 10/3 Coral |
| 2 Marta's Prince | 40/1 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Coral |
| 3 San Aer | 11/4 open 4.00 | — | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 Betfred |
| 4 Spent All Me Money | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Coral |
| 5 Storm Averted | 11/1 open 13.00 | — | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 6 Bay Of Dreams | 6/1 open 7.50 | — | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 Coral |
| 7 The Sweet Escape | 11/2 open 5.00 | — | 8/1 open 5.50 | 8/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 8/1 Coral |
| 8 Faoladh | 22/1 open 21.00 | — | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 9 Lough Leane | 16/1 | — | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 10 Navagio | 33/1 open 26.00 | — | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Rhythm King | 14/1 open 11.00 | — | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Coral |
| 12 Chester Nimitz | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 13 Gloriously Glam | 16/1 open 13.00 | — | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 Coral |
| 14 Mytimetoshine | 33/1 open 29.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Coral |
| 15 Buttermere Ridge | 28/1 open 23.00 | — | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 16 Minaun View | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 17 Mickey The Steel | 12/1 open 11.00 | — | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 18 La La Lucrative | 15/2 open 7.00 | — | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
San Aer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
San Aer (SR 76, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Apache Outlaw and The Sweet Escape, but crucially carries 10-0 while being ridden by W J Lee whose 14% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the race by some margin. Ran just 4 days ago indicating trainer Ross O'Sullivan is aiming him in good order right now, and the 11/4 represents the market's preference — the tightest price in the field. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:? are genuine concerns at this trip and going, the form string 900052 shows a recent second suggesting a peak-of-form upswing, and the class here (SR-level field topped at 76) suits a horse of his ability. The combination of elite SR, best jockey booking, tight market price, and recency of run outweighs the distance/going uncertainty in an otherwise modest field. Each-way alternative: Bay Of Dreams. Main danger: Apache Outlaw — Apache Outlaw (SR 75, 3/1) is the co-market leader and the McGuinness yard's nominated stable runner (#1 flag) with the tightest price in the field, and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- mirror San Aer's concerns, the 3/1 market support suggests connections have strong confidence in a positive run here.