Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 6f1y
SR 159 backed by market confidence at 4/9 — a genuine contender.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 127 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 125 suggests ability but 250/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 133 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Yordan | 3/10 open 1.73 | 1/3 open 1.53 | 1/3 open 1.53 | 1/3 open 1.53 | 1/3 open 1.53 | 1/3 open 1.53 | 1/3 Paddy Power |
| 2 Rake Lane | 14/1 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Alpha Platoon | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Brash | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ennoble | 10/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Triple P | 33/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Mystic Wave | 250/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Joud | 33/1 open 26.00 | 30/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Midnight Serenade | 250/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Miss Tino | 125/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 201.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 100/1 open 151.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Navertity | 40/1 open 21.00 | 35/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Yordan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 159 backed by market confidence at 4/9 — a genuine contender.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Yordan (SR:159, 4/9) is a class apart in this novice field — the SR gap to the next best (Rake Lane at 135) is 24 points, placing Yordan firmly in the top-class bracket while the rest are workmanlike at best. The market has reinforced this view with a 9% shortening since opening, and Harry Vigors retains the ride for Kevin Ryan, a stable combination with purpose. A form line of 2-1 shows a progressive 3-year-old who won last time out, stepping back at the same class, and the 17-day turnaround suggests the horse is in a good place. At 4/9 the price is short but reflects an unambiguous SR dominance over this field. Each-way alternative: Joud. Main danger: Rake Lane — Rake Lane (SR:135) is the field's second-highest rated runner and despite a 14% market drift, carries 5lb less than Yordan — if the favourite underperforms for any reason, Rake Lane is best placed on SR to capitalise.