Prairie Girl won two of her last five starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, but a disqualification and an unplaced effort cloud the profile, and she comes in rated 4 lb below her official mark from stall 11 carrying 143 lb.
Form last 6D-1104
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR79RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 13 of 18 on our figures and carrying 139 lb from stall 15, Amerilis is hard to fancy at these weights, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time and has experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6492621
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR76RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Cuban Grey shaped with promise when third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, suggesting conditions pose no issues; carrying 139 lb from stall three, he looks well placed to build on that recent form after an 18-day break.
Form last 6179435
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR81RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Third last time out, and a winner four starts back, Gotta Catch'em All has distance and going experience in his favour, though a ninth two starts back is a blot and the quick six-day turnaround is worth monitoring under 136 lb from stall two.
Form last 6611293
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR77RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sovereign Cry showed his quality with a win four starts back, but a ninth last time out and a quick six-day turnaround raise questions about his current form; he has experience over today's trip and going, though 136 lb from stall 12 will not make life easier.
Form last 6691849
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR79RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dandyville arrives here 18 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 82 marks him out as a serious threat at the head of the rankings — the chief concern is a winless streak across his last five starts.
Form last 67000-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Shadow Of The Moon showed a turn of foot when winning earlier in this five-race sequence, though she was unplaced last time out, sixty-six days off the track. She has run over today's trip and going before, and her speed rating of 86 sits well clear of her official rating of 74.
Form last 61-8020
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR78RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Buddy Batt showed he can win at this level when scoring in his last five starts, though he has been unplaced last time out and returns after 66 days off; he has experience over today's trip and conditions, but a mark of 73 and 133 lb make life competitive from stall seven.
Form last 6-31560
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR77RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Harry's Hill arrives here in fair nick after winning last time out and finishing second two starts back, though a patchy recent record — with unplaced efforts also in the mix — keeps him from being an unconditional selection; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after a 17-day break carrying 133 lb from stall one.
Form last 6060621
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mint Man won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing he can make the frame, but he comes here off an unplaced effort 11 days ago and has plenty to prove from stall 17 carrying 131 lb.
Form last 6480310
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR77RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bold Optimist is winless in his last six starts, though a second three starts back and a third two starts back show he is competitive at this level; fit enough on an 11-day turnaround, he has distance and going experience to call upon, but 128 lb from stall six is no easy ask.
Form last 6364230
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Treasured Royal nonetheless rates considerably higher than her official mark of 68 suggests, and she has experience of both today's trip and going; the risk is that a latest unplaced effort leaves freshness to prove despite just 11 days between runs.
Form last 6453540
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR82RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Happy Henry arrives on the back of a ninth last time out, and though he won three starts back, he ranks bottom of the field on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and distance.
Form last 6313159
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR65RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Beach Barbie faces a stiff task, though a third last time out offers slim encouragement and she has run over today's trip before.
Form last 67553
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR65RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gonna Be Golden has struggled badly for consistency, with two sixths, two unplaced efforts and an unseat in her last six starts and yet to win in recent form, leaving her hard to fancy from stall 18 off a mark of 64; experience over today's trip and going is the one modest tick in her favour.
Form last 6U03606
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR70RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well towards the foot of the field on our figures, Cashel Blue has been largely out of the frame in recent starts, with only a single win to show in her last six, and an unplaced effort last time a concern, though she has experience of today's trip and going and returns fit on an 11-day turnaround.
Form last 6051350
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR66RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Alnofoor has been off the track for 82 days and, ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, faces a stiff ask here, with an eighth last time out the most recent evidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and back-to-back wins three and four starts ago show he can find the form on a good day.
Form last 68-1138
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR68RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bad Boy Rizz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Ross O'SullivanColin Keane
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Prairie Girl
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Daniel James Murphy✓ Value Signal
Sovereign Cry
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Daniel James Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Bad Boy Rizz (SR:82, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this 18-runner field and has been backed in dramatically from a morning price — a 40% market move inward is the single strongest signal on the card, indicating informed support for Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 1,077 runners), the standout jockey booking. At 9-12, he carries a manageable weight and his form line 1-2354 shows consistent placed efforts, with the last winning form coming over similar distances. The GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, but at 4/1 in a wide-open €9,000 sprint handicap, the SR lead combined with the dramatic market move and a top-percentile jockey outweighs that reservation.
Each-way alternative: Prairie Girl.
Main danger: Happy Henry — Happy Henry (SR:69, 17/2) has shortened 26% in the market, carries a light 9-0, and his form line 313159 shows course-competitive efforts — the market move is substantial and could represent each-way or win money from connections who know good ground suits.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:- (t) indicates Bad Boy Rizz has no recorded preference for today's good ground — a meaningful flag in a sprint handicap where footing can be decisive.
42-day absence is the longest layoff in the field among fancied runners; fitness question marks loom large in an 18-runner sprint where sharp horses like Gotta Catch'em All (6 days) and Amerilis (19…
Form line 1-2354 shows a clear decline over recent starts — three consecutive finishes of 3rd, 5th, 4th — with no win since the opener and a flat MarkMv of 0, suggesting the handicapper has caught up…
Beach Barbie (in 46%) shows a stronger market move than Bad Boy Rizz's 40% inward swing despite carrying 9lbs less — competing market signals undermine the confidence narrative around the primary pic…
ShortlistBad Boy Rizz, Prairie Girl, Amerilis, Happy Henry