Navan 16:38 RESULTED
2 Sep 2026

Wednesday 2 September Navan Racecourse Handicap

Navan Racecourse Handicap · 5f

Official Result

Navan Racecourse Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cashel Blue (IRE) Reese Holohan · K J Condon
    16/1
  2. Second Amerilis (GB)
    13/2
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Prairie Girl silks
Prairie Girl
Age 4 · 10-3
D-1104
83
79
79
4
10-3
13/2 11/2 6/1
Prairie Girl won two of her last five starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, but a disqualification and an unplaced effort cloud the profile, and she comes in rated 4 lb below her official mark from stall 11 carrying 143 lb.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Amerilis silks
Amerilis
Age 3 · 9-13
492621
80
79
76
3
9-13
13/2 11/2 13/2
Ranked 13 of 18 on our figures and carrying 139 lb from stall 15, Amerilis is hard to fancy at these weights, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time and has experience of today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Cuban Grey silks
Cuban Grey
Age 6 · 9-13
179435
79
66
81
6
9-13
12/1 9/1 11/1
Cuban Grey shaped with promise when third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, suggesting conditions pose no issues; carrying 139 lb from stall three, he looks well placed to build on that recent form after an 18-day break.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

4
Bad Boy Rizz silks
Bad Boy Rizz
Age 3 · 9-12
1-2354
79
82
87
3
9-12
4/1 9/2 7/2
SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Gotta Catch'em All silks
Gotta Catch'em All
Age 6 · 9-10
611293
76
77
77
6
9-10
6/1 9/2 5/1
Third last time out, and a winner four starts back, Gotta Catch'em All has distance and going experience in his favour, though a ninth two starts back is a blot and the quick six-day turnaround is worth monitoring under 136 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sovereign Cry silks
Sovereign Cry
Age 3 · 9-10
691849
77
61
79
3
9-10
22/1 9/1 22/1
Sovereign Cry showed his quality with a win four starts back, but a ninth last time out and a quick six-day turnaround raise questions about his current form; he has experience over today's trip and going, though 136 lb from stall 12 will not make life easier.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dandyville silks
Dandyville
Age 8 · 9-9
7000-0
75
46
82
8
9-9
80/1 40/1 80/1
Dandyville arrives here 18 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 82 marks him out as a serious threat at the head of the rankings — the chief concern is a winless streak across his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Shadow Of The Moon silks
Shadow Of The Moon
Age 4 · 9-8
1-8020
74
58
78
4
9-8
9/1 14/1 8/1
Shadow Of The Moon showed a turn of foot when winning earlier in this five-race sequence, though she was unplaced last time out, sixty-six days off the track. She has run over today's trip and going before, and her speed rating of 86 sits well clear of her official rating of 74.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Buddy Batt silks
Buddy Batt
Age 5 · 9-7
-31560
73
48
77
5
9-7
40/1 28/1 40/1
Buddy Batt showed he can win at this level when scoring in his last five starts, though he has been unplaced last time out and returns after 66 days off; he has experience over today's trip and conditions, but a mark of 73 and 133 lb make life competitive from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Harry's Hill silks
Harry's Hill
Age 8 · 9-7
060621
73
61
79
8
9-7
SP 7/1 13/2
Harry's Hill arrives here in fair nick after winning last time out and finishing second two starts back, though a patchy recent record — with unplaced efforts also in the mix — keeps him from being an unconditional selection; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns after a 17-day break carrying 133 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Mint Man silks
Mint Man
Age 5 · 9-5
480310
71
65
77
5
9-5
14/1 12/1 14/1
Mint Man won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing he can make the frame, but he comes here off an unplaced effort 11 days ago and has plenty to prove from stall 17 carrying 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Bold Optimist silks
Bold Optimist
Age 6 · 9-2
364230
68
67
77
6
9-2
9/1 8/1 17/2
Bold Optimist is winless in his last six starts, though a second three starts back and a third two starts back show he is competitive at this level; fit enough on an 11-day turnaround, he has distance and going experience to call upon, but 128 lb from stall six is no easy ask.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Treasured Royal silks
Treasured Royal
Age 3 · 9-1
453540
68
59
82
3
9-1
25/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in her last six starts, Treasured Royal nonetheless rates considerably higher than her official mark of 68 suggests, and she has experience of both today's trip and going; the risk is that a latest unplaced effort leaves freshness to prove despite just 11 days between runs.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

14
Happy Henry silks
Happy Henry
Age 5 · 9-0
313159
66
69
65
5
9-0
8/1 12/1 15/2
Happy Henry arrives on the back of a ninth last time out, and though he won three starts back, he ranks bottom of the field on our figures, making him very hard to fancy despite experience over today's trip and distance.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Beach Barbie silks
Beach Barbie
Age 4 · 8-12
7553
64
64
65
4
8-12
12/1 16/1 11/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Beach Barbie faces a stiff task, though a third last time out offers slim encouragement and she has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Gonna Be Golden silks
Gonna Be Golden
Age 3 · 8-11
U03606
64
43
70
3
8-11
40/1 25/1 40/1
Gonna Be Golden has struggled badly for consistency, with two sixths, two unplaced efforts and an unseat in her last six starts and yet to win in recent form, leaving her hard to fancy from stall 18 off a mark of 64; experience over today's trip and going is the one modest tick in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Cashel Blue silks
Cashel Blue
Age 3 · 8-9
051350
62
53
66
3
8-9
22/1 22/1 20/1
Ranked well towards the foot of the field on our figures, Cashel Blue has been largely out of the frame in recent starts, with only a single win to show in her last six, and an unplaced effort last time a concern, though she has experience of today's trip and going and returns fit on an 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Alnofoor silks
Alnofoor
Age 8 · 8-7
8-1138
58
49
68
8
8-7
16/1 FCST 14/1
Alnofoor has been off the track for 82 days and, ranked 15 of 18 on our figures, faces a stiff ask here, with an eighth last time out the most recent evidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and back-to-back wins three and four starts ago show he can find the form on a good day.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Prairie Girl 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Amerilis 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 13/2 Bet365
3 Cuban Grey 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Bad Boy Rizz 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
5 Gotta Catch'em All 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
6 Sovereign Cry 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 Paddy Power
7 Dandyville 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 Paddy Power
8 Shadow Of The Moon 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Buddy Batt 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Paddy Power
10 Harry's Hill 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 15/2 Bet365
11 Mint Man 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
12 Bold Optimist 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
13 Treasured Royal 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
14 Happy Henry 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
15 Beach Barbie 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
16 Gonna Be Golden 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 Paddy Power
17 Cashel Blue 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
18 Alnofoor 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bad Boy Rizz

Speculative

Bad Boy Rizz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Ross O'Sullivan Colin Keane
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Prairie Girl

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Daniel James Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Sovereign Cry

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Daniel James Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Bad Boy Rizz
52.2 4/1
2 1. Prairie Girl
52.1 13/2
3 5. Gotta Catch'em All
49.9 6/1
4 2. Amerilis
49.1 13/2
5 12. Bold Optimist
47.7 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bad Boy Rizz
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-12
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-3
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 5 · 9-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-8
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Age 6 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 9-13
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

15
Age 4 · 8-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 8 · 8-7
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bad Boy Rizz
Confidence: Speculative

Bad Boy Rizz (SR:82, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this 18-runner field and has been backed in dramatically from a morning price — a 40% market move inward is the single strongest signal on the card, indicating informed support for Colin Keane (16% career strike rate, 1,077 runners), the standout jockey booking. At 9-12, he carries a manageable weight and his form line 1-2354 shows consistent placed efforts, with the last winning form coming over similar distances. The GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, but at 4/1 in a wide-open €9,000 sprint handicap, the SR lead combined with the dramatic market move and a top-percentile jockey outweighs that reservation. Each-way alternative: Prairie Girl. Main danger: Happy Henry — Happy Henry (SR:69, 17/2) has shortened 26% in the market, carries a light 9-0, and his form line 313159 shows course-competitive efforts — the market move is substantial and could represent each-way or win money from connections who know good ground suits.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- (t) indicates Bad Boy Rizz has no recorded preference for today's good ground — a meaningful flag in a sprint handicap where footing can be decisive.
  • 42-day absence is the longest layoff in the field among fancied runners; fitness question marks loom large in an 18-runner sprint where sharp horses like Gotta Catch'em All (6 days) and Amerilis (19…
  • Form line 1-2354 shows a clear decline over recent starts — three consecutive finishes of 3rd, 5th, 4th — with no win since the opener and a flat MarkMv of 0, suggesting the handicapper has caught up…
  • Beach Barbie (in 46%) shows a stronger market move than Bad Boy Rizz's 40% inward swing despite carrying 9lbs less — competing market signals undermine the confidence narrative around the primary pic…
Shortlist Bad Boy Rizz, Prairie Girl, Amerilis, Happy Henry
Each-way: Prairie Girl Danger: Happy Henry

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting