Christmas Parties At Newcastle Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes · 6f1y
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 52 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Eevee Star | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Profitability | 9/2 open 3.25 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 open 3.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Secret Rival | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Liveadream | 11/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Waiting For Archie | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 6 River Jordan | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Claret Time | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Kaiulani Spirit | 28/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Johns Power | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Coral |
| 10 Bladey Lady | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Yorkshire Dream | 10/1 open 26.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 9/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Secret Rival owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Secret Rival (SR:59, 4/1) shares the highest SR in the field alongside River Jordan but carries the same weight (9-8) with a market that has shortened 12% — money coming in on a horse managed by Ed Walker (15% strike rate, 876 runners) with experienced jockey Kieran Shoemark aboard. The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) from a yard that places horses carefully adds further appeal. Form of 8677 may look modest but in a Class 6 nursery where the entire field shows DistFit:- and GoingFit:?, relative SR and market confidence become the primary differentiators, and Secret Rival wins both those battles. Each-way alternative: River Jordan. Main danger: River Jordan — River Jordan matches Secret Rival on SR:59, drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), has lighter weight at 9-6, carries Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 1,364 career rides) and has shortened 10% in the market, making it the Phillip Makin yard's obvious number-one runner over stablemate Liveadream.