Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m5y
SR 63 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Barleybrown | 2/1 open 6.00 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Defence Missile | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Thunder Rush | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 10.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 open 11.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Soham's Roger | 66/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Here Comes Louie | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Itszaboy | 5/1 open 3.25 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 4.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Walk On Walk On | 8/1 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Lady Delila | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 9 The Floors Munky | 100/1 | 110/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 | 110/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Here Comes Louie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 suggests ability but 2/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Barleybrown (SR 63, 2/1) is the clear class leader in this modest Class 6 field and has steamed 22% in the market — the strongest market move in the race by some distance — indicating confident support. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, at 1m5y on Newcastle AW the course form (W0P2) shows familiarity with the track, and the SR 63 superiority over the next-best rivals (Here Comes Louie SR 60, Itszaboy SR 55) is meaningful in a field this weak. Joanna Mason (11% strike rate, 671 runners) is a reliable claimer booking for Ruth Carr who hits at 10% overall, and the combination of market conviction plus SR leadership tilts the verdict despite the going/distance flags. The each-way alternative is Here Comes Louie. Each-way alternative: Here Comes Louie. Main danger: Here Comes Louie — Here Comes Louie (SR 60, 9/2) is the closest SR rival at just 3 points behind Barleybrown, is ridden by Conor Whiteley who strikes at an impressive 18% from 140 rides, and a DistFit:~ suggests some capability at the trip — if Barleybrown's poor distance and going flags materialise, this Roger Fell runner is best placed to capitalise.