Class 4 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Northumberland County Show Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Northumberland County Show Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m4f28y

348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Northumberland County Show Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Passing Diamond (IRE) Richie McLernon · Ben Haslam
    5/6F
  2. Evs
  3. 18/1
Race picker

Switch race

Lingfield

14:10–17:55 · 8 races

Nottingham

14:20–16:55 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

14:30–17:35 · 7 races

Cork

16:40–20:12 · 8 races

Hexham

17:50–20:50 · 7 races

Huntingdon

18:00–20:30 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Mister St Eloi silks
Mister St Eloi Non-Runner
Age 5 · 11-2
U2/
91
5
11-2
SP
Still in contention when hampered/unseating late on debut in Irish point and only narrowly denied by a subsequent hurdle winner on his second start in March last year, and later sold for £180,000; has not been seen since but is of clear interest if ready to go on rules/stable debut after a long absence.
1
Passing Diamond silks
Passing Diamond
Age 6 · 11-9
3633-1
97
110
6
11-9
8/11 6/5 2/3
Dual Irish point winner; showed marked improvement on what he'd previously achieved in three runs over hurdles when winning a maiden hurdle here over 2m this month, keeping on well; has to concede weight all round under a penalty, but his experience will help and it's likely there's more to come now going back up in trip.

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Bold Step silks
Bold Step
Age 6 · 11-2
2-
94
6
11-2
5/4 5/6 5/4
Half-brother to winners Kincardine (bumper/2m hurdle) and Steal A March (useful 2m5f-3m hurdler); made a promising debut when runner-up in an Exeter bumper in January, shaping as though this longer trip will suit now switching to hurdles; respected.

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Coniston Commander silks
Coniston Commander
Age 6 · 11-2
44-
92
6
11-2
SP FCST 8/1
Shaped with promise in both his bumpers, and he's likely to be suited by this step up in trip now switching to hurdles; however, there are a couple who appear to have stronger credentials on this occasion.

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Mister St Eloi
1 Passing Diamond 8/11 open 2.38 4/6 open 2.25 4/6 open 2.25 8/11 open 2.38 4/6 open 2.20 8/11 Bet365
2 Bold Step 5/4 open 1.91 5/4 open 1.83 5/4 open 1.83 11/8 open 1.91 5/4 open 1.83 11/8 William Hill
3 Coniston Commander 17/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Passing Diamond

Live signal

Passing Diamond owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/11 Ben Haslam Richie McLernon
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bold Step

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · Nicky Henderson
✓ Value Signal

Coniston Commander

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

- · Nicky Richards
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Passing Diamond
60.6 8/11
2 2. Bold Step
57.2 5/4
3 3. Coniston Commander
50.4 -
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Passing Diamond
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-9
8/11
★★☆☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 11-2
5/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Passing Diamond
Confidence: Medium

Passing Diamond leads the field with SR 97 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 11-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Passing Diamond, Bold Step, Coniston Commander
Each-way: Bold Step Danger: Coniston Commander

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f28y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Hexham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade