19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Blackwater Apprentice Handicap

Blackwater Apprentice Handicap · 7f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Blackwater Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner L L Koulsty (IRE) Rory Mulligan · John S O'Donoghue
    7/2
  2. 6/1
  3. 3/1J
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gleneagle Bay silks
Gleneagle Bay
Age 6 · 10-2
420-04
73
100
6
10-2
9/4 10/3 9/4
Sole win came on debut at Dundalk in 2024; 0-13 since but ran well in top handicaps last season, including fifth in Irish Lincoln, third in Victoria Cup at Ascot and second in Ahonoora at Galway; C&D run last month was a solid run and dropped 2lb since.

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Dragon Of Malta silks
Dragon Of Malta
Age 9 · 9-6
21130-
83
95
9
9-6
40/1 28/1 40/1
Seven-time winner at 7f/1m, last three wins coming at Listowel on soft/heavy; has tended to need his comeback run so probably best watched here on ground on the quick side.

SR 83 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Brewing silks
Brewing
Age 7 · 9-1
522309
79
95
7
9-1
14/1 FCST 12/1
All six wins have been gained on AW; in good form at Dundalk last winter, soft ground probably wasn't ideal on turf comeback (slowly away) over C&D early this month and fair bit to find with Gleneagle Bay on that run.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Smoke Them Out silks
Smoke Them Out
Age 4 · 9-1
86-160
79
95
4
9-1
8/1 9/1 8/1
Notched a third career win when making all on seasonal return over 6f at the Curragh in March (heavy) but just fair efforts twice since at same venue; yet to win over this far and best form on easier ground so would welcome rain.

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Send Harry silks
Send Harry
Age 4 · 8-12
3312-0
84
94
4
8-12
17/2 FCST 8/1
Model of consistency on turf last summer, when his form included two Curragh placings over 6f; subsequently won over today's trip on Dundalk AW; recent Curragh comeback run should have brought him on so worth considering.

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Goal Exceeded silks
Goal Exceeded
Age 5 · 8-7
586-20
81
97
5
8-7
7/2 5/2 7/2

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
L L Koulsty silks
L L Koulsty
Age 3 · 8-7
51-364
78
91
3
8-7
10/3 4/1 10/3
Lightly raced 3yo won 6f maiden here last September (yielding-to-soft) and has acquitted himself creditably in two handicap runs this season, latest when not quite getting home (rider dropped whip) over 1m in finishing fourth here early this month; down 2lb but remains 3lb out of handicap proper; don't rule out with drop to 7f to suit.

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gleneagle Bay 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.33 9/4 Bet365
3 Dragon Of Malta 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
4 Brewing 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
5 Smoke Them Out 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Send Harry 17/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 17/2 Bet365
8 Goal Exceeded 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
9 L L Koulsty 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Goal Exceeded

Speculative

Goal Exceeded owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Adrian McGuinness Reese Holohan(7)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

L L Koulsty

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · John S O'Donoghue
✓ Value Signal

Dragon Of Malta

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · P F O'Donnell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Goal Exceeded
54.2 7/2
2 9. L L Koulsty
50.0 10/3
3 5. Smoke Them Out
49.7 8/1
4 1. Gleneagle Bay
49.2 9/4
5 6. Send Harry
49.0 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Send Harry
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 10-2
9/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 8-7
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 8-7
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 8-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Send Harry
Confidence: Medium

Send Harry leads the field with SR 84 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 8-12 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Send Harry, Dragon Of Malta, Goal Exceeded, Brewing, Smoke Them Out
Each-way: Dragon Of Malta Danger: Goal Exceeded

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Cork Track and setting