Class 6 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Simon Duggan The Bad Ama Handicap (Div II)

Simon Duggan The Bad Ama Handicap (Div II) · 7f135y

1348-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Simon Duggan The Bad Ama Handicap (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner No Gain (GB) Charles Bishop · Adam Kirby
    8/11F
  2. 33/1
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 1 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Joycean Way silks
Joycean Way
Age 5 · 9-9
5234-8
57
71
5
9-9
1
12/1 9/1 11/1
16-race maiden; runner-up on five occasions, most recently on soft ground at Brighton (1m) in September, but below his best on his last two starts and needs to bounce back; headgear removed.

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Kev silks
Kev
Age 4 · 9-9
60-098
45
64
4
9-9
40/1 40/1 28/1
Went close in a maiden at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) in December 2024 but he's struggled in handicap company since; visor (worn last time) is replaced by first-time blinkers.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Turpin silks
Turpin
Age 4 · 9-9
4000-5
40
64
4
9-9
9/2 4/1 9/2
Seven-race maiden who posted his best effort in handicaps when fifth of 12 here (1m, AW) 19 days ago on his first start since being gelded; needs to build on that returned to turf.

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Bear To Dream silks
Bear To Dream
Age 7 · 9-9
57842-
49
67
7
9-9
14/1 9/1 14/1
Six-time winner, with five of those wins coming on turf; ran well when second of 11 here on the AW in December and switches to turf on her first start since; seems unsuited by ground softer than good.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Charlatan silks
Charlatan
Age 6 · 9-7
1-7254
50
66
6
9-7
SP FCST 9/1
Gained his fifth AW success when winning at Wolverhampton in December but in and out since; rallied for fourth after losing his position at Southwell (7f, AW) 69 days ago; lightly raced on turf and unproven on softer than good.

SR 50 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Celtic Spirit silks
Celtic Spirit
Age 4 · 9-6
455-0
42
59
4
9-6
50/1 50/1 40/1
Well held in three novice events last year (6f/7f) and he failed to beat a rival on handicap debut at Leicester (1m2f, good to firm) 24 days ago; drops back in trip; others preferred.

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
The Spotlight Kid silks
The Spotlight Kid
Age 7 · 9-6
-24435
52
69
7
9-6
12/1 10/1 11/1
Both wins on turf have been at Yarmouth over 7f and he's also won twice on the AW; went close at Southwell (1m, AW) in January but he did too much too soon there 20 days ago; claims if settling better.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Drafted silks
Drafted
Age 6 · 9-6
4-3780
53
65
6
9-6
14/1 16/1 14/1
Three-time AW winner, most recently at Dundalk (7f, AW) in October when trained by Charles Byrnes; third on his stable debut at Chelmsford (7f, AW) in February but he's not built on that in three starts since; unraced on ground slower than good to soft.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Raqraaq silks
Raqraaq
Age 8 · 9-4
387-63
48
65
8
9-4
14/1 8/1 12/1
Dual winner here on the AW over 1m; bounced back from a couple of lesser efforts when third of nine here on the AW over 7f last time but he could do without the rain on this switch back to turf (well beaten in three starts on soft).

SR 48 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Dubai Harbour silks
Dubai Harbour
Age 6 · 9-2
534628
52
66
6
9-2
18/1 12/1 16/1
Both wins have been here on the AW over 1m2f; ran well when runner-up at Kempton (1m, AW) in March but well beaten there 55 days ago and he's struggled in each of his three starts on turf.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

12
Reel Power silks
Reel Power
Age 7 · 9-0
7498-8
42
56
7
9-0
66/1 66/1 40/1
Sole win came in a classified event at Brighton (1m, good to firm) in July 2023; fair fourth at Kempton in September but down the field in three starts since; back on turf.

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

13
Resilient Lady silks
Resilient Lady
Age 4 · 9-0
665684
47
61
4
9-0
25/1
13-race maiden (Flat/hurdles) who has yet to be placed, but it was a respectable run when fourth of nine at Kempton (1m, AW) 55 days ago; struggled in her two starts on Flat turf.

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

14
Snow Boots silks
Snow Boots
Age 5 · 9-0
08-566
45
59
5
9-0
50/1 40/1 33/1
13-race maiden who posted one of his better efforts when midfield at Kempton (6f, AW) 76 days ago; steps up in trip on his first start since.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Joycean Way 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Kev 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Turpin 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365
4 Bear To Dream 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Charlatan 10/1 9/1 10/1 10/1 9/1 10/1 Bet365
6 Celtic Spirit 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 Coral
7 The Spotlight Kid 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
8 Drafted 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Raqraaq 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.00 16/1 Coral
10 Dubai Harbour 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
12 Reel Power 66/1 open 81.00 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 67.00 66/1 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Bet365
13 Resilient Lady 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 28/1 Coral
14 Snow Boots 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Turpin

Low conviction

Turpin owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (22) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Jim Boyle Pat Cosgrave
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

The Spotlight Kid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

12/1 · Dean Ivory
✓ Value Signal

Kev

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tom Ward
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
22 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +8.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
23 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Turpin
43.5 9/2
2 7. The Spotlight Kid
43.5 12/1
3 5. Charlatan
40.5 -
4 1. Joycean Way
39.3 12/1
5 9. Raqraaq
39.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Joycean Way
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Joycean Way is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-9
9/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 5 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 1

SR 57 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 7 · 9-6
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Age 7 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Age 6 · 9-6
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 8 · 9-4
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-2
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Joycean Way
Confidence: Medium

Joycean Way leads the field with SR 57 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Joycean Way, Drafted, The Spotlight Kid, Dubai Harbour, Charlatan
Each-way: Drafted Danger: The Spotlight Kid

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f135y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Lingfield Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade