Class 4 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

748-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Sunday Lunch At The Border Minstrel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Big Cigar (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard & Peter Fahey
    2/1F
  2. Second Dorigo (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 7/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Big Cigar silks
Big Cigar
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
4/1 13/2 7/2
Yard yet to get rolling for the year with juveniles; this early-foaled son of their Listed-placed 2yo (6f) Barbanera is an interesting newcomer, having been picked up for £140,000 at the breeze-up sales recently.

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Caeruleus silks
Caeruleus
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
17/2 16/1 17/2
80,000gns yearling who's only just turned two; brother and half-brother both won in Ireland for Jessica Harrington but his yard wouldn't be noted for 2yo newcomers (4-21 with juveniles here) and the market will be the best guide.

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Capilano silks
Capilano
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
11/1 13/2 10/1
Already-gelded 72,000gns yearling whose dam went close on her 2yo debut for Godolphin before regressing; trainer had a juvenile newcomer win early in the month but boasts an ordinary record with them on the AW in recent times.

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Dorigo silks
Dorigo
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
9/1 10/1 8/1
37,000euros yearling who's the first foal of an unraced mare; trainer had a couple of 2yos win first time out this spring (both started favourite under Kevin Stott) and the market will be the best guide with him.

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lehbab Prince silks
Lehbab Prince
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
3/1
170,000euros yearling who's the second foal of a Listed-race runner-up (1m6f) in Ireland (first offspring an ordinary middle-distance maiden); trainer boasts a good record with 2yos here (12-34).

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Martial Order silks
Martial Order
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
4/1 11/4 4/1
32,000euros foal, 75,000gns yearling who holds a few notable entries later on; half-sister Gold Digger won on her 2yo debut this time last year and he's an interesting contender for a yard that's 2-3 with 2yos on the AW this spring.

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Real Trouble silks
Real Trouble
Age 2 · 9-7
133
2
9-7
4/1 11/4 4/1
Already-gelded 105,000gns early-foaled first offspring of Group 3-placed 2yo She's Trouble; holds a couple of notable entries for a yard that's enjoyed a good spring with juveniles; a likely type.

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Big Cigar 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 9/2 William Hill
2 Caeruleus 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 Bet365
3 Capilano 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 Bet365
4 Dorigo 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Lehbab Prince 3/1 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 Betfred
6 Martial Order 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365
7 Real Trouble 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Real Trouble

Live signal

Real Trouble owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (74) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Archie Watson Hollie Doyle
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Lehbab Prince

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Capilano

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
74 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Real Trouble
67.0 4/1
2 5. Lehbab Prince
65.2 3/1
3 1. Big Cigar
64.3 4/1
4 6. Martial Order
63.7 4/1
5 3. Capilano
63.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Big Cigar
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-7
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 133 🐾

SR 133 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Big Cigar
Confidence: Medium

Big Cigar leads the field with SR 133 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-7 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Big Cigar, Caeruleus, Capilano, Dorigo, Lehbab Prince
Each-way: Caeruleus Danger: Capilano

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade