Class 5 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Book Northumberland Plate Day Tickets Fillies' Handicap

Book Northumberland Plate Day Tickets Fillies' Handicap · 6f

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Book Northumberland Plate Day Tickets Fillies' Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Fizzy Cristal (GB) Warren Fentiman · Richard & Peter Fahey
    11/1
  2. 11/4
  3. Third Concert (GB)
    13/8F
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Maldevious silks
Maldevious
Age 4 · 9-13
47-494
49
70
4
9-13
9/1 9/1 17/2
Consistent maiden who'll find this easier than the handicaps she's contested previously; had plenty of chances now but is fine on Tapeta and is one to consider for a yard also responsible for Perfect Price.

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Annie Edson Taylor silks
Annie Edson Taylor
Age 5 · 9-12
1260-4
52
72
5
9-12
7/1 5/1 7/1
Yard among the winners of late and this mare made a pleasing C&D comeback early in the month, especially given she hit traffic; entitled to have come on for that first run in six months and goes on the shortlist.

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Hen Party silks
Hen Party
Age 3 · 9-9
3222-4
56
72
3
9-9
3/1 4/1 11/4
Maiden who's been turned over a few times in novice company, including on her turf comeback a month ago; consistent enough, though, and should be competitive off this sort of mark now handicapping.

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Too Much silks
Too Much
Age 6 · 9-9
0933-0
62
68
6
9-9
33/1 25/1 33/1
Dual course winner who can miss the break and/or pull hard; does most racing now over further and didn't offer much on her comeback here last month without the usual hood (back on today).

SR 62 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Blue Nguru silks
Blue Nguru
Age 3 · 9-8
2241-7
54
68
3
9-8
14/1 8/1 14/1
Reared as the stalls opened on her turf comeback and that can be ignored; easy to back that day but being dropped 2lb won't hurt and it will have blown away the cobwebs.

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Tashi Delek silks
Tashi Delek
Age 3 · 9-7
02-8
47
68
3
9-7
15/2 5/1 7/1
Pulled hard when second in a soft-ground Yarmouth maiden last backend (eyeshield) and again in a hood on her comeback over 8.4f; has the two forms of headgear combined as she runs in a sprint and a handicap for the first time on her AW debut.

SR 47 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Fizzy Cristal silks
Fizzy Cristal
Age 3 · 9-6
3421-6
53
68
3
9-6
8/1 13/2 8/1
Made all when winning a C&D nursery off 3lb lower last autumn; no more than a fair turf comeback six weeks ago but that was her first run in six months and the return here looks a plus.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Perfect Price silks
Perfect Price
Age 3 · 8-12
548-79
53
68
3
8-12
33/1 25/1 33/1
Two ordinary efforts in Tapeta handicaps this spring, each time at a big price; first-time headgear will need to make a difference dropped 4lb and Maldevious looks her trainer's best chance.

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Maldevious 9/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
2 Annie Edson Taylor 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 Coral
4 Hen Party 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
5 Too Much 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Blue Nguru 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Tashi Delek 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Bet365
8 Fizzy Cristal 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Coral
9 Perfect Price 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hen Party

Speculative

Hen Party owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Ed Dunlop Jason Hart
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tashi Delek

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Too Much

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · David Thompson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
28 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Hen Party
47.6 3/1
2 7. Tashi Delek
45.0 15/2
3 2. Annie Edson Taylor
44.4 7/1
4 8. Fizzy Cristal
40.8 8/1
5 6. Blue Nguru
40.3 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Too Much
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-9
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
8/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

1
Age 4 · 9-13
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Too Much
Confidence: Medium

Too Much leads the field with SR 62 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-9 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Too Much, Hen Party, Blue Nguru, Fizzy Cristal, Perfect Price
Each-way: Hen Party Danger: Blue Nguru

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade