Class 4 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday Events And Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

Events And Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap · 1m75y

848-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

Events And Hospitality At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rosa Inglesa (GB) Oisin Murphy · Charlie Fellowes
    3/1
  2. 11/4F
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Runswick silks
Runswick
Age 3 · 9-9
0610-
70
85
3
9-9
17/2 15/2 17/2
Best 2yo form when scoring at Epsom (7f) on penultimate start; not disgraced when facing stiffer task in Newmarket sales race next time; could go well, returned to calmer waters on handicap/seasonal debut.

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Capichera silks
Capichera
Age 3 · 9-9
42-3
68
89
3
9-9
11/4 2/1 11/4
Thrice-raced filly whose form stacks up well; creditable third to useful sort (Listed placed since) in 1m maiden at the Newmarket Craven meeting most recently; open to progress in handicaps and appears to have a workable opening mark; respected.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Island Bear silks
Island Bear
Age 3 · 9-8
236-7
68
84
3
9-8
25/1 33/1 22/1
Gelded since finishing last of seven at Southwell (1m, AW) on handicap/seasonal debut; may do better returned to turf with the outing under his belt, having shown some promise in this sphere as a 2yo.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
I'm Just Ken silks
I'm Just Ken
Age 3 · 9-6
3550
68
85
3
9-6
40/1 66/1 33/1
Four-race maiden; always behind in Class 2 handicap at Chester (7.5f) most recently, having been one of the outsiders; has otherwise shown some ability and this grade should be more like his level.

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
North Force silks
North Force
Age 3 · 9-6
32-32
77
89
3
9-6
4/1
Four placed efforts in the north reflect a consistent start to his career, good second in Beverley handicap (7.5f) most recently; related to a couple of winners for his owner and has shown enough to suggest he can emulate them; solid.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Beyond The Bar silks
Beyond The Bar
Age 3 · 9-5
3216-7
77
86
3
9-5
20/1 FCST 16/1
Showed steadily progressive maiden/novice form that culminated in Redcar success (1m); has failed to transfer it to two handicaps but possibly needed his reappearance run last time.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rosa Inglesa silks
Rosa Inglesa
Age 3 · 9-5
216-3
77
87
3
9-5
11/4 5/2 11/4

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Domination silks
Domination
Age 3 · 9-1
0776-1
77
89
3
9-1
8/1 13/2 15/2
Opened his account with neck success, first two clear, in Class 6 handicap at Ripon (1m) on stable/seasonal debut; upped two grades but may have more to offer and, getting weight all round, looks one for the shortlist.

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Runswick 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Coral
2 Capichera 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 11/4 Bet365
3 Island Bear 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
4 I'm Just Ken 40/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 Bet365
5 North Force 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
6 Beyond The Bar 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
7 Rosa Inglesa 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 11/4 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 11/4 Bet365
9 Domination 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

North Force

Speculative

North Force owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Richard & Peter Fahey Shane Gray
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Capichera

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Ed Walker
✓ Value Signal

Island Bear

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. North Force
53.2 4/1
2 2. Capichera
51.2 11/4
3 7. Rosa Inglesa
49.4 11/4
4 9. Domination
49.2 8/1
5 1. Runswick
48.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
North Force
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

6
Age 3 · 9-5
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
North Force
Confidence: Medium

North Force leads the field with SR 77 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-6 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist North Force, Beyond The Bar, Rosa Inglesa, Domination, Runswick
Each-way: Beyond The Bar Danger: Rosa Inglesa

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m75y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade