Class 4 19 May 2026

Last Tuesday £9 Racedays At Nottingham Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

£9 Racedays At Nottingham Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m75y

1148-Hr decs

Every runner. Every signal. One decision.

Official Result

£9 Racedays At Nottingham Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moreedd (GB) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
    5/1
  2. 28/1
  3. 20/1
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14:10–17:55 · 8 races

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14:20–16:55 · 6 races

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14:30–17:35 · 7 races

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17:50–20:50 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Updated 1 day, 22 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Runman silks
Runman
Age 3 · 10-4
1-1
60
82
3
10-4
6/4 7/4 5/4
Half-brother to a Group 2 scorer for his connections; two from two, both races at about 1m on good ground, latest at Epsom where he was a 1-12 shot and won going away; has potential and warrants respect, even with a double penalty, in his bid for a novice treble.

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Peace And Quiet silks
Peace And Quiet
Age 4 · 10-2
39
4
10-2
300/1 50/1 200/1
Makes belated debut aged four; by New Approach and first foal of twice-raced half-sister to 1m4f/12.5f Group 2 scorer Loxley and daughter of 1m2f Group 1 winner; check the market signals.

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

3
Revelio silks
Revelio
Age 4 · 10-2
6-9
44
67
4
10-2
150/1 33/1 125/1
Ordinary RPRs in a couple of maidens 12 months apart, last of nine at Yarmouth (1m) for new yard latest; this 4yo seems likely to be more interesting in handicaps shortly.

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

4
Carly Minogue silks
Carly Minogue
Age 5 · 9-11
36-
38
56
5
9-11
250/1 125/1 200/1
5yo mare who has recorded an RPR of just 53 in both starts, which where last June; best watched.

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

5
Adamlyi silks
Adamlyi
Age 3 · 9-4
5-2
61
83
3
9-4
SP FCST 10/11
Kingman colt who seemed to need the outing/experience in sole 2yo appearance; went very close at Yarmouth (1m, good to firm) on reappearance, despite still looking green, and the winner gave the form a boost by following up in Newbury handicap on Saturday; leading player at the weights.

SR 61 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Atlas Mountain silks
Atlas Mountain
Age 3 · 9-4
7-0
50
70
3
9-4
22/1 12/1 20/1
Similar level of form in maidens at Glorious Goodwood and Newbury, gelded prior to keeping-on tenth in big field over 1m latest; still open to improvement, albeit his ideal scene may be handicaps.

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Lean d'Aislingean silks
Lean d'Aislingean
Age 3 · 9-4
45
3
9-4
10/1 11/1 10/1
27,000euros foal, 85,000euros yearling; by Ghaiyyath; sibling to two winners, notably Swatch (1m-1m2f; RPR 78); dam unraced daughter of 5f Group 1 scorer; one of a few newcomers in the field; check the betting.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

8
Lucky Camino silks
Lucky Camino
Age 3 · 9-4
45
3
9-4
25/1 FCST 20/1
25,000euros foal, 42,000gns yearling; Lucky Vega half-brother to four winners, notably Fanaar (6f-1m including UAE Group 3; RPR 106); dam unraced half-sister to 1m2f Listed winner Indian Choice; market informative.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Moreedd silks
Moreedd
Age 3 · 9-4
4
45
65
3
9-4
7/1 6/1 13/2
Well-bred colt whose siblings include his connections' 1,000 Guineas winner Elmalka; ran below expectations in 7f contest at Doncaster, finishing only fourth of five, but seems very likely to improve on that effort; one for the shortlist.

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

10
Mr Bollinger silks
Mr Bollinger
Age 3 · 9-4
64
48
68
3
9-4
80/1 40/1 66/1
Something to find on his 1m2f efforts at Nottingham and Lingfield (AW) but gives the impression this drop in distance may prompt better form; gelded since last run.

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

11
Florizelle silks
Florizelle
Age 3 · 8-13
5
18
32
3
8-13
300/1 FCST 200/1
Ran in accordance with market expectations (rank outsider of five) in 7f AW event at Wolverhampton, achieving little on the figures.

SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Runman 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.88 6/4 open 2.88 5/4 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 Betfred
2 Peace And Quiet 300/1 open 67.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 300/1 open 51.00 250/1 open 51.00 300/1 Bet365
3 Revelio 150/1 open 41.00 125/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 34.00 125/1 open 34.00 150/1 Bet365
4 Carly Minogue 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 250/1 Bet365
5 Adamlyi evn open 1.91 10/11 10/11 evn evn open 1.91 evn Bet365
6 Atlas Mountain 22/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Lean d'Aislingean 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Coral
8 Lucky Camino 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Moreedd 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
10 Mr Bollinger 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
11 Florizelle 300/1 200/1 200/1 300/1 open 251.00 250/1 open 201.00 300/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Runman

Speculative

Runman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (33) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy
90% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Moreedd

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Lucky Camino

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Hugo Palmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Runman
52.6 6/4
2 9. Moreedd
41.2 7/1
3 5. Adamlyi
41.0 evn
4 7. Lean d'Aislingean
40.6 10/1
5 6. Atlas Mountain
35.2 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Adamlyi
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 10-4
6/4
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

9
Age 3 · 9-4
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

7
Age 3 · 9-4
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Adamlyi
Confidence: Medium

Adamlyi leads the field with SR 61 and is trading at . The Saturday Rating places it clear of the field on ability. Weight of 9-4 is manageable for a horse of this class.

Shortlist Adamlyi, Runman, Atlas Mountain, Mr Bollinger, Lean d'Aislingean
Each-way: Runman Danger: Atlas Mountain

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m75y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade