Behike won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but ranked seventh of nine on our figures he faces a stiff ask at the top weight of 131 lb, and the recent unplaced effort in his last five starts tempers enthusiasm.
Form last 6-11021
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR101RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dickensian has run over today's trip and going, and a win four starts back shows he can find the winner's enclosure, but unplaced efforts either side of a seventh leave him needing to recapture that form off 131 lb from stall seven after 37 days away.
Form last 63-1070
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR106RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Double Rush won three of his last five starts, with back-to-back victories two and three runs back giving him a potent winning thread, and he has experience of today's trip and going; the main concern is an eight-week absence since that disappointing eighth last time out.
Form last 60-1118
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
121SR109RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third three starts back shows Regional has ability at this level, and he returns on a going and trip he has experience of, carrying 130 lb from stall 8; winless in his last five starts, yet our rating of 119 marks him as the one to beat here.
Form last 649-306
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR119RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Spycatcher won two of his last five starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the trainer is firing at 26% in the last fortnight, though a 106-day absence is the chief concern.
Form last 6311-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
106SR115RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Beaten into seventh last time out dampens the mood, but Extremely Zain has won three of his last five starts, with victories three, four, and five starts back, and he returns after 22 days with distance and going experience in his favour.
Form last 61-1147
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR103RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
America Queen arrives on the back of a win last time out, is unexposed over today's trip and going, and her 126 lb burden from stall one is the chief question mark against her.
Form last 64-2841
★AI Rating★★★★☆
119SR112RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Nariko has been out of the frame in her last three starts, with an eighth last time out, and returns after a 302-day absence; two wins in her last five starts offer some hope, and she has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 611068-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR90RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Lam Yai faces a stiff ask, though she brings solid recent form — third, second, and a win in her last five starts — experience over today's trip and going, and a trainer striking at 26% in the past fortnight all count in her favour.
Form last 64321-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR94RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
America Queen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Richard HughesDaniel Tudhope
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Double Rush
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · Andrew Balding✓ Value Signal
Dickensian
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Kevin Ryan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Double Rush (SR 121, 9/4) carries the highest Saturday Rating in this nine-runner Listed field and is the only runner with a SR clearly above 120, placing it in a different ability band from the rest. The 21% market steam since opening is the strongest inbound move in the race and reflects genuine confidence from Andrew Balding's yard (19% career strike rate, 1,540 runners — a big, reliable operation). The form line 0-1118 shows three straight wins before its latest run, it is proven at 6f (DistFit:+), and at 9-4 it carries a weight advantage over top-weight Behike and similar-weighted rivals. The principal concern is GoingFit:? and a MarkMv:+5 suggesting it is running off a higher mark than at last win, but the market support and SR dominance outweigh those caveats.
Each-way alternative: Extremely Zain.
Main danger: Extremely Zain — Extremely Zain (SR 111, 5/1) has steamed 19% in the market, holds course form (W1P1 at York), proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), and William Haggas's 21% strike rate with Cieren Fallon aboard is a formidable combination — the only knock is MarkMv:+10 suggesting it is 10lb higher than its last win mark.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:? is a genuine unknown at York today — if the ground has cut up since Double Rush's last win, its form figures offer no evidence it handles conditions.
MarkMv:+5 means it must match a career-high mark; its last run (the '8' in 0-1118) suggests a below-par effort at that higher level before today.
America Queen (SR:119, 7/2) is only 2 points below and has a 4-star rating with fresher legs (21 days), a stronger jockey booking, and a positive course record — a live rival the market also respects.
Shane Foley (11% strike rate, 936 runners) is a significantly weaker jockey booking than rivals Cieren Fallon (19%) and Daniel Tudhope (16%), a tangible in-race disadvantage at a track that rewards t…
ShortlistDouble Rush, Extremely Zain, America Queen, Behike