Winless in his last five starts, Shadow Dance nevertheless carries the strongest rating in the field and brings recent fitness — just 16 days since his last run — alongside experience of today's going, making him the one to side with despite a modest recent form line.
Form last 67-6700
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR99RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Pinatique nevertheless showed renewed promise with a fourth last time out after a couple of low-key efforts, and 22 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh; carrying 142 lb against a competitive field may test her further, however.
Form last 66960-4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR83RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
Consistent in recent starts, Percy Shelley has been placed second three times in recent starts and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 90 marking him a leading threat off 141 lb; the risk is he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
Form last 622-462
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR90RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
High Fibre arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, making him a clear threat at 141 lb; the concern is whether that weight blunts his momentum after a month off.
Form last 6806/31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR89RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Call My Bluff was a winner three starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, with our rating of 90 marking him out as one of the strongest threats in the field; the main risk is a return from 91 days off.
Form last 64-9105
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR90RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Rock N Roll Pinkie arrives here 27 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and her second six starts back offers a hint of better ability — but she has been winless in her last six starts and her two most recent efforts, a seventh and ninth, leave her needing to find more.
Form last 6245597
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR85RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Moon Chime won last time out but faces a stiff test on a 50-day absence, and while he has run over today's trip before, his recent record beyond that win has been patchy, and carrying 131 lb against higher-rated rivals adds to the task.
Form last 6636-41
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR75RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Trojan Sun has managed just one win in his last six starts, with a seventh and an unplaced run among those efforts making him hard to fancy ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, though he does return quickly fit on 12 days' rest and has experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6163073
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR73RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Florida Dreams has shown a placed effort in recent starts — third two runs back — but has been fifth on either side of it and is winless in that spell; 73 days off adds a fitness query, though his our rating of 76 suggests there may be more to find.
Form last 6535
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Marbuzet won last time out and returns on a quick seven-day turnaround, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but his overall recent form is patchy and he ranks ninth of twelve on our figures, making him hard to fancy at this level.
Form last 64-5091
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Newport is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back; he has been out of the frame on either side of that success, and while he has run over today's trip and going before and is fit enough at 12 days between runs, he faces a stiff task at these weights.
Form last 60/5415
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR73RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Furhaan is hard to fancy despite a recent run of placed efforts — he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough.
Form last 6975234
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
High Fibre owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4James OwenCieren Fallon
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Moon Chime
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · David Killahena & Graeme McPherson✓ Value Signal
Shadow Dance
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Rebecca Menzies◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Moon Chime (SR 80, 4/1) is the clearest qualifier in this modest field. The SR of 80 sits comfortably above almost every rival bar High Fibre, yet Moon Chime carries only 9-5 — a meaningful weight advantage over High Fibre's 10-1. The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this sort of trip, and a market move of in31% from 4/1 signals genuine confidence from punters and connections. The recent form of 636-41 shows a winner last time out, suggesting peak form, and the class drop of two tiers makes this a winnable assignment against this level of opposition.
Each-way alternative: Florida Dreams.
Main danger: High Fibre — High Fibre holds the field's highest SR at 94 — a significant edge — carries the same weight as Percy Shelley at 10-1, has a market move of in7% with Cieren Fallon (19% strike rate) booked, and though DistFit:? and GoingFit:? introduce uncertainty, James Owen's yard clearly fancies this one as their number-one runner over stablemate Percy Shelley who is drifting.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
High Fibre holds a 14-point SR advantage (94 vs 80) and is ridden by Cieren Fallon (19% strike rate) — Moon Chime's SR edge over the field does not exist against the market favourite.
Moon Chime has been off the track for 50 days, the longest absence in the field bar Florida Dreams, raising fitness questions for a horse that needs to hit peak condition on return.
Headgear listed as 't' (tongue tie) with no noted change — if this equipment has been consistently worn without producing wins, it offers no new stimulus today.
The dash form '636-41' includes a season break (the hyphen) before the recent win; the last-time-out victory may have come in a weaker race at a lower class, and York 14:40 may reassert stiffer compe…