Utmost Respect showed a good level of form when winning five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, at a 136 lb burden from stall 12; the chief concern is that he has struggled to recapture that winning thread since.
Form last 61044-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR86RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Kinnalargy has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 85 puts him third in a field of 21, marking him out as a leading contender; winless in his last five starts is the concern, though 44 days off may have him freshened for a bold bid from stall eight.
Form last 64-0574
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
65SR85RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Call To Action arrives in fine fettle on 24 days' rest, with three runner-up finishes in his last four starts suggesting he is knocking on the door, and he has experience of today's distance and going; at 135 lb from stall six, however, a tough weight ask and a middling ranking in a 21-runner field are the checks against him.
Form last 61-2922
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR78RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Sports Coach has placed twice in that sequence and brings distance and going experience to this assignment, though 135 lb from stall 17 are the checks on his chance.
Form last 6698224
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR84RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Explosive Finnish won last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, but 44 days off the track raises a fitness query and 135 lb is a stern burden from stall 13.
Form last 6332251
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR82RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Twice placed two and three starts back, and a winner five starts back, Parisiac returns in fair time off 16 days, but back-to-back disappointing efforts since — eighth most recently — are a concern at 135 lb from stall 10.
Form last 6-12208
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
True Promise has distance and going experience in his favour and a win four starts back gives his claims some substance, but seventh last time out and ninth two starts back make it hard to fancy him strongly from stall 16 off 135 lb.
Form last 6201597
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR83RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked near the foot of our figures and drawn in stall 20, Little Mi Mi faces a stiff ask on these ratings despite showing a lively recent record that includes three wins in her last six starts, with a third last time out after back-to-back victories before that.
Form last 6104113
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR72RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Curious Rover won two starts back but has otherwise struggled for a top-three finish in recent starts, and 37 days off adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 134 lb from stall five.
Form last 6444714
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR79RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Duran's ratings profile stands out sharply in this field, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a winless recent sequence and a trainer who has drawn a blank in 22 attempts over the past fortnight make it hard to dismiss the stable's current slump as the chief concern.
Form last 60-5000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR86RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Rated well below most rivals on these figures, Vingegaard arrives on the back of an unplaced run and has won only once in his last six starts, making him hard to recommend, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and 39 days off may have freshened him.
Form last 6903610
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ninth last time out and unplaced the start before that, Copper Knight has struggled for consistency in recent starts, though a winner six starts back shows he retains ability; he has run over today's distance and going, and our rating of 83 offers some encouragement from stall one at 132 lb.
Form last 6106909
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR83RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent recent form makes Managing Director the pick here — second last time out and a winner five starts back, he has experience of today's trip and conditions and steps in on a competitive mark of 74, though he will need to overcome stall 18 carrying 132 lb.
Form last 618/532
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR83RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 17th of 21 on our figures, Roach Power faces a stiff task from stall 22 carrying 131 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick eight-day turnaround.
Form last 6097407
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR77RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Winless in his last six starts, Kanishka does arrive with distance and going experience to call on, but consecutive unplaced efforts are a concern; the 129 lb burden from stall nine adds further pressure on a gelding ranked towards the foot of this field.
Form last 6443600
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bonnie's Boy has run over today's trip and going before, and a third last time out shows he retains some ability, but winless in his last five starts and carrying 129 lb from stall 19, this lightly tried gelding looks to have plenty working against him here.
Form last 69-4043
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR78RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oriental Prince has been winless in his last six starts, finishing no better than second two runs back and sixth most recently, and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, he is hard to fancy despite having experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6074826
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR70RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Ranked well down the field on our figures and one of 21 runners to navigate from stall 21, Harb at least arrives in career-best form — a winner two starts back and again last time out — and has run over today's trip and going before, though the ratings gap makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6045211
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR78RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 19 of 21 on our figures and his speed rating lags well behind the top of this field, making Maharajas Express genuinely difficult to fancy, though a second last time out and a win three starts back show he retains some ability, and he has distance and going experience to call on.
Form last 6796182
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Tanjen is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and an encouraging third last time out; she has run over today's trip and going before, but her speed rating leaves her with plenty to find on these weights.
Form last 6977513
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Havana Rum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Richard & Peter FaheyWarren Fentiman(3)
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Managing Director
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/1 · Geoff Oldroyd✓ Value Signal
Utmost Respect
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Explosive Finnish (SR:85, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives in career-best form with a sequence of 332251 — a recent win capped a progressive campaign. Crucially, the horse carries only 9-9 for that top SR, giving a meaningful weight advantage over rivals of similar rating. Course:W1P1 at York confirms the track suits, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ validate today's conditions, and running off the same class mark (ClassMv:=) means no upward class penalty to absorb. The only reservation is a market drift of 14% since opening, which the data flags as an opposer signal, but the combination of course form, going/distance fits, and SR superiority in this field is compelling enough to stay onside.
Each-way alternative: Harb.
Main danger: Havana Rum — Havana Rum (SR:82, 9/2) is the Fahey yard's market-confirmed #1, has shortened 13%, carries a light 9-8, GoingFit:+ aligns with today's good ground, and a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) means it meets this field on favourable terms — it has the second-highest SR in the race and is the shortest-priced runner.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Market drift of 14% out from opening price is a concrete opposer signal in a competitive 22-runner handicap, suggesting informed money is against Explosive Finnish today specifically.
44 days since last run is the longest absence in the top half of the field — Havana Rum (21 days) and Call To Action (24 days) arrive much sharper and fresher into this big-field York sprint.
Trainer Kevin & Lauren Frost has a small 91-runner sample with only 10% strike rate; in a 22-runner York handicap this stable's limited big-field experience at a track like York is a notable concern.
MarkMv:+6 means Explosive Finnish has been raised 6lbs for that recent win — effectively absorbing the weight advantage the analyst cites, and now racing off a career-high mark against more experienc…
ShortlistExplosive Finnish, Havana Rum, Call To Action, Harb