Third three starts back and a winner four starts back, Start Again arrives on a lengthy 106-day break but boasts the strongest profile in this field, our rating of 117 putting him narrowly ahead; he has run over today's trip and carries 162 lb.
Form last 6713-P6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
101SR117RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 101 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ask A Sainte shaped with plenty of promise when a winner three starts back and runner-up two starts back, and he has experience over today's trip at a sturdy 161 lb, with our rating of 112 marking him a leading threat — the sole concern is that pull-up last time out.
Form last 65-412P
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR112RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
No More Bolero arrives in fine nick with two wins on the spin and a placed finish on his most recent outing 22 days ago, and he has run over today's trip before; the concern is a hefty 161 lb to carry.
Form last 613-112
★AI Rating★★★★☆
116SR107RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
So Proud shaped with plenty of promise when third last time out, and a winner four starts back, with a rating of 110 suggesting he retains significant ability; the concern is a 101-day absence that leaves his current fitness open to question.
Form last 615-43
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR110RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of five on our figures and held in four of his last five starts, Motazzen is hard to fancy at the weights despite a third last time out and having run over today's trip.
Form last 651-843
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR107RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ask A Sainte owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Olly MurphySean Bowen
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
So Proud
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill✓ Value Signal
Motazzen
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
8/1 · Henrietta C Knight◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
No More Bolero (SR 116, 6/4) is the highest-rated runner in this small Class 4 field and arrives in fine recent form — a 13-112 sequence showing three placings or wins from last four, most recently a second just 22 days ago indicating peak fitness. Harry Cobden (21% career strike rate) is a top booking and the GoingFit:+ confirms this horse handles good ground. The class rise (↑1) and MarkMv:+7 are genuine concerns, but with only five runners, the SR edge over the field is meaningful — SR 116 versus the next best at 111. The 18% market drift is worth noting, but in a race this small, drifters can simply reflect each-way money or stable hedging rather than insider concern; the form profile here is too strong to dismiss.
Each-way alternative: So Proud.
Main danger: Ask A Sainte — Ask A Sainte (SR 110, 9/4) has Sean Bowen in the saddle — the strongest jockey in the field at 23% career strike rate — GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Olly Murphy's 20% yard strike rate gives this horse a serious platform to overcome the MarkMv:+7 concern if it reproduces its best.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG flag shows 'v' (visor) not standard headgear, yet GoingFit is listed as '+' — the going description needs scrutiny as Fontwell in September can be softer than expected, and this horse's best form…
18% market drift is significant at 6/4 in a 5-runner field — with so few runners, smart money has fewer places to hide, making this drift harder to explain away as each-way noise.
Ask A Sainte (SR 111, 9/4) is trained by Olly Murphy (20% strike rate) and ridden by Sean Bowen (23% strike rate) — a trainer/jockey combo that outperforms No More Bolero's connections on current sea…
MarkMv:+7 means the handicapper has raised No More Bolero 7lbs off recent form — combined with a class rise, this is a double squeeze on margins that the SR edge of just 5 points over So Proud does n…