Kinisla Kerrymaid Rated Novice Steeplechase · 2m1f150y
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Apple's Of Bresil | 3/1 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 2.88 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Luker's Tipple | 10/1 open 4.50 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Ocastle Des Mottes | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.38 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 Coral |
| 4 Sky Lord | 5/2 open 4.50 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Some Song | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Apple's Of Bresil owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 135 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Apple's Of Bresil (SR 163, 2/1) is the class standout in this five-runner novice chase, rated 11 points clear of the next-best Luker's Tipple and a full 28 above Ocastle Des Mottes. The DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination confirms proven ability at this trip and on good ground, which are the two most critical variables today. The last run ('1' rightmost in the form) shows a winning return, and while the 112-day absence is a note of caution, the tongue-tie (HG:t) suggests connections have thought carefully about preparation. The market at 2/1 is sensible without being extreme, and the SR advantage is simply too large to overcome for the opposition. Each-way alternative: Ocastle Des Mottes. Main danger: Ocastle Des Mottes — Ocastle Des Mottes (SR 135, 5/4) is trained by W. P. Mullins with Paul Townend in the saddle — a combination running at a 26%/38% strike rate respectively — has steamed in 14% in the market, ran just 13 days ago confirming fitness, and DistFit:+ means the trip is no concern; if the GoingFit:? resolves favourably on the day, that Mullins-Townend machine at a short price is the chief threat to Apple's Of Bresil.