Edelak arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and boasts five wins in his last six starts, with experience over today's trip and going adding to his claims; a trainer striking at 30% in the past fortnight and a return in just 13 days suggest peak fitness, though a fall in recent form is the one note of caution.
Form last 6111F11
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
126SR128RPR132OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked fifth of six on our figures, Mojito des Mottes has a pulled-up to overcome two starts back, and though he bounced back to win last time out — 29 days ago — the weight of 162 lb and an inferior rating make him hard to fancy, despite experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6442-P1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR121RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up two runs back, Zillow nevertheless heads the ratings here and returns on a quick enough turnaround at 22 days; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 135 marks him as the clear class angle at 160 lb.
Form last 600-7P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
88SR135RPR122OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Eternal Angel arrives in fine nick, a winner three starts back and runner-up last time out, with experience over today's trip and going adding confidence; the 158 lb burden is the chief concern.
Form last 6-12132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
130SR126RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Nap Hand arrives in fine nick, a winner last time out and placed second two starts back and three starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going; the concern is whether 156 lb blunts that momentum.
Form last 638-221
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
124SR122RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of six on our figures, Gower Prince faces a stiff ask at 142 lb, yet his recent form reads well — a winner two starts back and placed either side of that — and he has experience of today's distance and going.
Form last 6P2-212
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR115RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mojito des Mottes owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Ben PaulingHarry Cobden
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Edelak
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Dan Skelton✓ Value Signal
Zillow
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Faye Bramley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Eternal Angel (SR:130, 5/2) carries the highest SR in the field at a manageable 11-4, and the market has spoken loudly with a 37% inward move — the strongest steam in this race by some margin. The form string -12132 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, and confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's good ground over 1m7f195y removes any trip or surface doubt. Yes, it steps up one class tier (ClassMv:↑1) and runs off a mark 5lb higher than its last win, but the weight carried is lighter than Edelak's 12-0 and the SR edge of 4lb over the top-weight makes this a genuine case where the market confidence is backed by hard data rather than sentiment.
Each-way alternative: Nap Hand.
Main danger: Mojito des Mottes — Mojito des Mottes (SR:122, 7/4) has steamed 16% in the market with Harry Cobden booked, showed a last-time-out win under the tongue-tie, and handles today's going — Ben Pauling's yard knows this horse is ready despite the class rise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
HG:h flags Eternal Angel's best form has come on heavier ground — today's good going may not be ideal despite the DistFit:+ label, and a 6yo can be ground-sensitive.
36 days since last run is a meaningful freshen-up but the form string shows a defeat last time out (3rd in -12132), meaning it heads here off the back of a loss rather than a winning run.
Class rise (ClassMv:↑1) combined with a mark 5lb higher than last win is a double squeeze — the SR edge over rivals is narrow enough that any underperformance on unfamiliar terms is plausible.
Mojito des Mottes at 7/4 is the market leader despite lower SR, suggesting bookmakers and punters see a credible favourite that the SR model may be underweighting — the 'steam' on Eternal Angel may p…
ShortlistEternal Angel, Nap Hand, Mojito des Mottes