Splashing Out won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, arriving here fresh on 16 days' rest; the fifth last time out is a mild concern, but her overall profile on these conditions makes her our pick despite carrying 166 lb.
Form last 6-31015
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR116RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win three starts back and ran a cracker next time when second two starts back, giving her a strong recent profile at 120 on our ratings; the main concern is whether 144 days off has left her short of peak fitness.
Form last 613128-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR120RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jeaniemacaroney landed a win four starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making her a genuine threat at a rating of 117; the main concern is a return from 68 days off having failed to build on that victory in her three subsequent outings.
Form last 610/65-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
87SR117RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Speisialta won two starts back but was unplaced on the occasion before that, which raises a small question mark over her reliability; she has run over today's trip and going, and the runner-up finish last time out suggests she arrives in reasonable shape carrying 164 lb.
Form last 64-R012
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
90SR106RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pampar Lady has placed third in each of her last two starts and also won five starts back, showing she can compete at this level, but carrying 162 lb is a stiff ask and her trainer has yet to strike in the past fortnight.
Form last 6147-33
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR114RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Tountinna won last time out but has been off the track for 168 days, and carrying 160 lb will test her stamina; she has run over today's trip and going before, though our rating of 109 suggests she faces a stiff task against 18 rivals.
Form last 634841-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR109RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brosna Queen won last time out but that success came 99 days ago and she steps up in weight to 159 lb, which tests her fitness; she has run over today's distance and going before, though her record in recent starts has been patchy outside that latest victory.
Form last 65P6-51
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR111RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bynx has run over today's trip and conditions before and arrives fit on a 16-day turnaround, her rating of 116 marking her as a leading threat in a field of 19; the worry is that her win came five starts back and she has not threatened to reproduce that form in recent outings.
Form last 61-6848
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR116RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 14 of 19 on our figures, Mysilverriverfeale makes her case a tough one to press despite a win two starts back; that eighth last time out is a concern, though she has distance and going experience and arrives on a 30-day freshener.
Form last 6-52418
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR103RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice placed in her last five starts but winless in that spell, Fraher Field has run over today's trip and going, and at 151 lb there is plenty of weight to carry, though a rating of 110 suggests she holds ability capable of bridging the gap.
Form last 67-0262
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
98SR110RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
River Tara has experience of today's trip and conditions, but her recent record gives pause — a second four starts back has given way to two pull-ups and a fall in her last three, and 153 days off the track adds another question mark at 151 lb.
Form last 62/PPF-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR112RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Ranked well below the field on our figures and carrying a hefty 151 lb, Shirzan has posted back-to-back sixth-place finishes in her latest two starts and is hard to fancy, though she has winning form in recent starts — a victory three starts back — and has run over today's distance and going before.
Form last 6731-66
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR99RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and a runner-up five starts back, Wonderful Everyday shows she can get competitive, though she remains winless in her last five starts and 151 lb is a stern burden; she has run over today's trip and going, and an official mark of 105 leaves her with something to prove.
Form last 626-553
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR113RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Landed a win three starts back but has disappointed in both outings since, and the hefty 150 lb burden makes life harder still; she has run over today's trip and going before, and retains a little ability on her rating, though a return to form is needed.
Form last 6U69108
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR108RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, How's Ellie faces a stiff task under 150 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and was second three starts back to suggest ability when things go her way.
Form last 65-62F4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR97RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Midnight Eagle won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing she can compete at this level, but a ninth last time out clouds her chance today; she has distance and going experience to draw on, though 147 lb is no easy burden.
Form last 6302319
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
86SR103RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Regards To Rose has tumbled down the placings in her last three starts after winning four runs back, and ranked fifteenth of nineteen on our figures she faces a stiff ask here; 66 days off the track adds another query, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 651-898
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR102RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked well below the principals on our figures, Chosen Shant faces a stiff ask against a big field, though she does arrive in decent nick — a winner last time out, 23 days ago — and has experience over today's distance and going.
Form last 6371251
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR101RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Run For The Border is hard to fancy under 142 lb, though she has experience over today's trip and going, was placed last time out, and returns on a quick nine-day turnaround suggesting she is fit.
Form last 6324302
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR97RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Wonderful Everyday owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2W. P. MullinsPaul Townend
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Radiator Springs
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Henry de Bromhead✓ Value Signal
Jeaniemacaroney
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · E McNamara◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Wonderful Everyday (SR 105, 3/1) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and is trained by W.P. Mullins (26% career strike rate) with Paul Townend aboard — a 38% career strike rate jockey booking that screams stable confidence. At 10-11, the weight is very manageable, and the Mullins yard's #1 signal is unambiguous: Townend rides here while Danny Mullins takes the drifter How's Ellie (Mkt:out91%). The form string 26-553 shows consistency around the frame without a win recently, but the class and connections upgrade at this provincial level make it the clear pick. Fraher Field (SR 98, Mkt:in58%) is the danger — a remarkable 58% market move inward, course form (W0P1), and DistFit+ at 10-11 make it a live threat.
Each-way alternative: Fraher Field.
Main danger: Fraher Field — Fraher Field's 58% market move inward is the strongest steaming signal in the race, combines with DistFit+, course placing (W0P1), and a competitive SR 98 off a light 10-11, suggesting well-informed money at 11/1.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 26-553 shows zero wins in last five starts — the horse is consistently finishing mid-pack, not closing out races, which is a red flag even at provincial level.
Radiator Springs (SR:111, 5/1) has a higher speed rating by 6lbs and is trained by de Bromhead; it represents a superior benchmark on form figures that Wonderful Everyday's SR:105 simply doesn't beat.
Fraher Field's 58% market move inward is one of the sharpest in the field and comes with course form — that kind of market intelligence at a provincial track like Listowel often reflects local connec…
Shirzan (SR:102, 4/1) is a 4-year-old who showed a win recently (Form:731-66 masks a -1 run) and is attracting market support (in15%), representing a younger, potentially improving rival at a weight…
ShortlistWonderful Everyday, Fraher Field, Radiator Springs, Shirzan