End Of Season Handicap Stakes · 1m100y
Winless in her last five starts, though Pilgrim's Progress does have a pair of runner-up finishes in recent form and returns on a sharp 11-day turnaround; 135 lb and a trainer striking at just 3% over the past fortnight are the real concerns here.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Turtle Reef's two most recent efforts — eighth latest, seventh two starts back — make him hard to fancy, though a third three starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim crumbs of comfort.
Amber Hamur arrives here in fine fettle after back-to-back wins in her recent starts, and a third last time out maintains the momentum nicely; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 28 days between runs leaves her looking fresh at the weights.
Buckland Belle arrives in fine nick, winning last time out and placed in all five of her other recent starts, and she has experience of both today's trip and conditions — the main risk is whether 133 lb proves a burden.
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Only Dream Big has shown she can mix it at this level with a second two starts back, and she has experience of both today's trip and conditions; winless in her last six, however, and a beaten seventh last time out is the concern.
Winless in his last six starts, with only a second and a third to show from recent efforts, Snaafy has struggled for consistency — though he has run over today's distance and going before, and at 131 lb from stall two, fitness isn't a concern just seven days on from his last outing.
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures and her speed rating of 57 does little to inspire confidence, though Dalamara does arrive fit on a 20-day turnaround, has experience of today's distance and going, and her third last time out shows she retains some ability.
Winless in his last six starts, though a second two starts back shows he retains some ability; Horwich has run over today's distance and going, and 15 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, but carrying 129 lb from stall seven makes life tough.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Itszaboy is hard to fancy despite a second three starts back and experience over today's trip and going; the six-day turnaround at least suggests he arrives fresh.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Pilgrim's Progress | — | 8/1 | — | — | 15/2 | — | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Turtle Reef | — | 12/1 | — | — | 12/1 | — | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Amber Hamur | — | 11/4 | — | — | 5/2 | — | 11/4 Paddy Power |
| 4 Blue Mantle | — | 14/1 | — | — | 14/1 | — | 14/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Elizabetty | — | 25/1 | — | — | 25/1 | — | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Buckland Belle | — | 5/2 | — | — | 9/4 | — | 5/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Only Dream Big | — | 12/1 | — | — | 12/1 | — | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Snaafy | — | 11/1 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | — | 12/1 Ladbrokes |
| 9 Dalamara | — | 6/1 | — | — | 11/2 | — | 6/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Horwich | — | 12/1 | — | — | 12/1 | — | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Itszaboy | — | 25/1 | — | — | 25/1 | — | 25/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Snaafy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
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